NYY @ BOS
Fenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM ET45°F · 6 mph wind · clear⚾ Cam Schlittler vs Payton TolleMLB.TVNESN+
Result readNew York Yankees
New York Yankees 4 · Boston Red Sox 2
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Yankees has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 91%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 91%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox
Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBellinger singled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Grisham scored, Caballero to second.3–2
- ScoreNarváez homered to left center (383 feet).1–2
- 🏃 DoubleMayer doubled to center, Story scored.0–1
- ScoreJudge singled to right, Caballero scored on error, Judge safe at second on fielding error by right fielder Abreu, Bellinger safe at third on error.4–2
- ScoreChisholm Jr. homered to right (333 feet).1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .269 | .310 | .558 |
| Cody Bellinger LF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .271 | .373 | .435 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | .242 | .361 | .571 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | .311 | .453 | .716 |
| Giancarlo Stanton DH· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | .253 | .301 | .425 |
| Randal Grichuk LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .172 | .194 | .276 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .288 | .204 |
| Trent Grisham CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .167 | .310 | .333 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .188 | .274 | .282 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .250 | .292 | .345 |
| Austin Wells C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .164 | .307 | .230 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler SP· | 8.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 96-69 | 1.77 | 96 |
| David Bednar RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 3.38 | 11 |
Boston Red Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .197 | .265 | .303 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .257 | .337 | .338 |
| Masataka Yoshida LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .262 | .404 | .333 |
| Willson Contreras 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .250 | .376 | .417 |
| Wilyer Abreu RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .286 | .343 | .451 |
| Trevor Story SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .186 | .220 | .294 |
| Marcelo Mayer 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .203 | .284 | .339 |
| Caleb Durbin 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .141 | .230 | .205 |
| Carlos Narvaez C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .245 | .273 | .340 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Tolle SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 93-63 | 1.50 | 93 |
| Danny Coulombe RP | 0.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-12 | 7.11 | 18 |
| Greg Weissert RP | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-9 | 4.66 | 12 |
| Tyler Samaniego RP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23-14 | 0.00 | 23 |
| Ryan Watson RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-7 | 7.71 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningRosario flied out to left.
- 5th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 3rd InningYoshida grounded out to first.
- 2nd InningAbreu walked.
- 9th InningJudge struck out looking.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningBellinger singled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Grisham scored, Caballero to second.3–2
- 5th InningNarváez homered to left center (383 feet).1–2
- 2nd InningMayer doubled to center, Story scored.0–1
- 7th InningJudge singled to right, Caballero scored on error, Judge safe at second on fielding error by right fielder Abreu, Bellinger safe at third on error.4–2
- 5th InningChisholm Jr. homered to right (333 feet).1–1