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InTheRafters.com

SD @ COL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MT60°F · 10 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Matt Waldron vs Ryan FeltnerMLB.TVPadres.TVRockies.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres

San Diego Padres 10 · Colorado Rockies 8

Final
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

San Diego Padres is the model’s call — San Diego Padres on the margin numbers, San Diego Padres on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 84%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

San Diego Padres

Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

San Diego Padres
RL Ramon Laureano LF · #5 JM J. Merrill CF · #3 FT F. Tatis Jr. RF · #23 MM Manny Machado 3B · #13 XB X. Bogaerts SS · #2 JC J. Cronenworth 2B · #9 GS Gavin Sheets 1B · #30 YD Yu Darvish P · #11 FF Freddy Fermin C · #54
Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLaureano singled to right, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to second.8th Inning5–8
  2. ScoreMoniak homered to center (429 feet).6th Inning4–7
  3. ScoreBogaerts homered to left (375 feet).5th Inning4–6
  4. 🏃 TripleLaureano tripled to center, Cronenworth scored.4th Inning3–5
  5. 🏃 DoubleAndujar doubled to left, Bogaerts scored and Machado scored.2nd Inning2–1
  6. ScoreAndujar singled to right, Machado scored, Bogaerts to third.9th Inning7–8

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Diego Padres02011001510130
Colorado Rockies1401011008142

San Diego Padres

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ramon Laureano LF·3-6603200130.264.320.484
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF·1-5501000323.250.327.293
Jackson Merrill CF·0-3310001323.211.279.368
Manny Machado 3B·2-5522000117.195.327.293
Xander Bogaerts SS·2-3332212018.289.366.444
Miguel Andujar 3B·2-5502300225.316.350.439
Bryce Johnson RF0-001000000.250.294.375
Ty France 1B·0-330000008.233.281.367
Gavin Sheets 1B1-221131008.227.266.467
Freddy Fermin C·0-4410001224.175.320.250
Jake Cronenworth 2B·2-4412001123.167.286.231

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Matt Waldron SP·5.086633182-5312.4682
Adrian Morejon RP1.011101114-106.3914
Ron Marinaccio RP2.041100030-203.7730
Mason Miller RP1.01000007-60.007

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·2-5522100214.273.360.379
Mickey Moniak LF·4-5534220119.324.347.750
TJ Rumfield 1B·2-4412201020.264.320.429
Willi Castro 2B·0-1100001110.246.316.348
Tyler Freeman RF1-221110008.293.370.317
Troy Johnston RF·3-4403201013.325.381.481
Ezequiel Tovar SS·0-5500000017.204.245.323
Brett Sullivan C·0-4400000011.243.263.324
Kyle Karros 3B·0-4400000012.200.337.286
Jake McCarthy LF·1-221100005.234.308.362
Brenton Doyle CF1-220100004.214.276.286

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Feltner SP·2.022213040-256.3040
Zach Agnos RP3.042213167-426.0667
Seth Halvorsen RP1.000012019-120.0019
Juan Mejia RP1.231113045-276.1745
Victor Vodnik RP0.245512122-137.5922
Brennan Bernardino RP0.20000006-50.826

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningLaureano singled to right, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to second.5–8
  2. 4th InningRumfield walked.
  3. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  4. 8th InningSheets grounded out to first.
  5. 7th InningTovar popped out to first.
  6. 6th InningLaureano struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningLaureano singled to right, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to second.5–8
  2. 6th InningMoniak homered to center (429 feet).4–7
  3. 5th InningBogaerts homered to left (375 feet).4–6
  4. 4th InningLaureano tripled to center, Cronenworth scored.3–5
  5. 2nd InningAndujar doubled to left, Bogaerts scored and Machado scored.2–1
  6. 9th InningAndujar singled to right, Machado scored, Bogaerts to third.7–8
  7. 2nd InningJulien singled to left, McCarthy scored.2–2
  8. 9th InningSheets homered to right (379 feet), Bogaerts scored and Johnson scored.10–8
  9. 7th InningJohnston singled to right, Freeman scored.4–8
  10. 2nd InningRumfield doubled to right, Moniak scored and Julien scored.2–4
  11. 1st InningMoniak homered to right (386 feet).0–1
  12. 9th InningBogaerts singled to center, Merrill scored, Machado to second.6–8
  13. 4th InningFreeman hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Julien scored, Rumfield to second.3–6
  14. 2nd InningJohnston singled to left, Rumfield scored, Castro to second.2–5

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