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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Luis Severino vs Nathan EovaldiMLB.TV
Result readAthletics

Athletics 8 · Texas Rangers 1

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Athletics because Texas Rangers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Texas Rangers has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 52%. Actual: Athletics by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Texas Rangers

Injury Report

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCortes homered to right (409 feet), Gelof scored and Kurtz scored.5th Inning6–1
  2. ScoreGelof homered to left (375 feet), McNeil scored.9th Inning8–1
  3. ScoreCortes homered to right center (390 feet).1st Inning2–0
  4. ScoreJung hit a ground rule double, Seager scored.4th Inning3–1
  5. ScoreSoderstrom homered to center (415 feet).1st Inning3–0
  6. ScoreKurtz homered to right (417 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics300030002890
Texas Rangers000100000180

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·2-4422111119.253.435.460
Shea Langeliers C·0-440000008.294.357.569
Carlos Cortes RF·2-4422420017.339.403.625
Tyler Soderstrom LF·1-4411110014.220.301.420
Jacob Wilson SS·0-4400000012.269.275.370
Jeff McNeil 2B·2-4412000022.291.367.392
Max Muncy 3B·0-4400000210.244.307.411
Lawrence Butler RF·0-4400000112.183.264.280
Zack Gelof CF·2-4422210117.250.250.450

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Severino SP·6.261115098-675.1798
Hogan Harris RP0.220002016-112.3516
Justin Sterner RP0.20000009-63.299
Luis Medina RP1.000000012-72.7012

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·0-4400000119.292.370.491
Joc Pederson 1B·1-3301000215.241.366.310
Andrew McCutchen LF1-110100001.242.278.394
Corey Seager SS·2-4412000012.220.324.462
Jake Burger 1B·0-4400000013.231.257.413
Josh Jung 3B·1-4401100112.301.359.518
Evan Carter CF·1-4401000115.218.333.385
Kyle Higashioka C·0-4400000115.216.310.324
Josh Smith 2B·2-3302001020.200.307.227
Alejandro Osuna LF·0-220000007.250.500.250
Sam Haggerty LF0-110000016.133.188.133

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nathan Eovaldi SP·6.066613486-595.7986
Cal Quantrill RP3.032202145-286.4345

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningPederson struck out swinging.
  2. 7th InningHaggerty struck out swinging.
  3. 6th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningCortes homered to right (409 feet), Gelof scored and Kurtz scored.6–1
  2. 9th InningGelof homered to left (375 feet), McNeil scored.8–1
  3. 1st InningCortes homered to right center (390 feet).2–0
  4. 4th InningJung hit a ground rule double, Seager scored.3–1
  5. 1st InningSoderstrom homered to center (415 feet).3–0
  6. 1st InningKurtz homered to right (417 feet).1–0

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