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In The Rafters

WSH @ CHW

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor3:10 PM CT44°F · 7 mph wind · overcast⚾ Jake Irvin vs Noah SchultzMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 6 · Chicago White Sox 3

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Washington Nationals gets the model’s nod thanks to Washington Nationals’s margin advantage, with Chicago White Sox’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 60%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMurray hit sacrifice fly to center, Montgomery scored.10th Inning6–3
  2. ScoreNuñez singled to right, García Jr. scored and Lile scored, Wiemer to third.10th Inning6–2
  3. ScoreWiemer walked, Mead scored, Lile to second, García Jr. to third.10th Inning4–2
  4. ScoreWood scored on a passed ball by Romo, García Jr. to second on passed ball by Romo, Mead to third on passed ball by Romo.10th Inning3–2
  5. ScoreWood scored on a passed ball by Romo, García Jr. to second on passed ball by Romo, Mead to third on passed ball by Romo.10th Inning3–2
  6. ScoreMeidroth hit sacrifice fly to center, Montgomery scored.8th Inning2–2

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Washington Nationals0002000004661
Chicago White Sox0000000201370

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-4410001117.241.401.574
Curtis Mead 1B·0-3310002221.189.283.415
Andres Chaparro 1B·0-330000005.222.300.333
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B1-221100005.264.293.379
Brady House 3B·1-3311002222.242.299.374
Daylen Lile LF·0-3320002115.288.358.432
Jacob Young CF·1-3301001213.241.283.356
Jorbit Vivas 3B0-110000015.291.394.345
Brad Lord RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Joey Wiemer RF·0-4400101322.320.414.580
Nasim Nunez 2B·2-4402401221.195.298.207
Keibert Ruiz C·1-330100007.200.226.340
CJ Abrams SS0-110000014.277.395.532
Drew Millas C0-110000008.159.229.205

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·5.240009088-624.8588
Mitchell Parker RP1.112223023-125.4023
Gus Varland RP1.01000108-83.488
Cionel Perez RP1.000021022-117.6222
Brad Lord RP1.011000018-134.1918

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Andrew Benintendi LF·0-5500000324.210.253.383
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-5500000315.242.381.589
Miguel Vargas 3B·1-3311002122.213.353.436
Colson Montgomery SS·0-3320000219.232.342.505
Everson Pereira RF·1-5501100212.278.344.519
Sam Antonacci LF·1-220100009.233.351.433
Tanner Murray LF0-1100100112.200.250.320
Chase Meidroth 2B·2-3302101019.266.352.351
Tristan Peters CF·0-220000017.254.302.305
Derek Hill RF1-3301000111.258.361.355
Edgar Quero C·1-330100004.161.274.177
Luisangel Acuna CF0-000000000.185.250.200
Drew Romo C0-000000105.0001.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Noah Schultz SP·6.042248085-493.5285
Jordan Hicks RP1.000021019-84.3819
Tyler Davis RP1.000012014-80.0014
Grant Taylor RP1.00000209-83.219
Jordan Leasure RP0.224332030-176.7530
Osvaldo Bido RP0.10000008-57.308

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 10th InningMillas grounded out to third.
  2. 10th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 10th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  4. 10th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 9th InningBenintendi flied out to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningMurray hit sacrifice fly to center, Montgomery scored.6–3
  2. 10th InningNuñez singled to right, García Jr. scored and Lile scored, Wiemer to third.6–2
  3. 10th InningWiemer walked, Mead scored, Lile to second, García Jr. to third.4–2
  4. 10th InningWood scored on a passed ball by Romo, García Jr. to second on passed ball by Romo, Mead to third on passed ball by Romo.3–2
  5. 10th InningWood scored on a passed ball by Romo, García Jr. to second on passed ball by Romo, Mead to third on passed ball by Romo.3–2
  6. 8th InningMeidroth hit sacrifice fly to center, Montgomery scored.2–2
  7. 8th InningPereira singled to left, Vargas scored, Montgomery to second.2–1
  8. 4th InningNuñez singled to center, House scored and Lile scored.2–0

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