COL @ NYM
Citi Field · Queens, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor4:55 PM ET48°F · 4 mph wind · clearMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 3 · New York Mets 0
Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Colorado Rockies on the back of New York Mets’s margin work and New York Mets’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 74%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 3.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 74%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Injury Report
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreJohnston singled to right, Freeman scored, Karros to second.1–0
- ScoreGoodman homered to right center (390 feet), Julien scored.3–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard Julien 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .284 | .369 | .392 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .263 | .340 | .547 |
| Mickey Moniak LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | .316 | .353 | .684 |
| Tyler Freeman RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .271 | .352 | .292 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .250 | .327 | .400 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .188 | .333 | .263 |
| Troy Johnston RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .315 | .371 | .449 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .200 | .236 | .305 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .208 | .274 | .273 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Dollander SP· | 7.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 105-63 | 2.25 | 105 |
| Seth Halvorsen RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Zach Agnos RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 5.71 | 11 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .233 | .268 | .302 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .304 | .418 | .413 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .240 | .333 | .427 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .220 | .250 | .329 |
| MJ Melendez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .273 | .333 | .545 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .220 | .275 | .300 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .179 | .247 | .282 |
| Ronny Mauricio SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .286 | .286 | .286 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .214 | .233 | .381 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga SP· | 2.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 50-30 | 9.00 | 50 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. RP | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 49-29 | 0.00 | 49 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 4.91 | 9 |
| Brooks Raley RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-9 | 1.86 | 11 |
| Devin Williams RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-10 | 9.00 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningBaty flied out to center.
- 6th InningAlvarez struck out swinging.
- 2nd InningBenge grounded out to first.
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningJohnston singled to right, Freeman scored, Karros to second.1–0
- 3rd InningGoodman homered to right center (390 feet), Julien scored.3–0