MIN @ TB
Tropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:40 PM ET⚾ Simeon Woods Richardson vs Griffin JaxMLB.TVTwins.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 4
Final
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Tampa Bay Rays is the model’s call — Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 78%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 2.
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 78%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
Minnesota Twins
Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreDíaz homered to right (359 feet), Aranda scored.0–4
- ScoreAranda singled to center, Feduccia scored and Simpson scored.0–2
- ScoreLee homered to right (333 feet), Outman scored.2–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 9 | 1 |
Minnesota Twins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Lee SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .253 | .316 | .448 |
| Trevor Larnach LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .241 | .406 | .352 |
| Josh Bell 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .234 | .330 | .383 |
| Ryan Jeffers C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .269 | .402 | .463 |
| Kody Clemens 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .175 | .266 | .316 |
| Luke Keaschall 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .208 | .254 | .264 |
| Matt Wallner RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .180 | .277 | .303 |
| Royce Lewis 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .196 | .308 | .393 |
| James Outman CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .115 | .179 | .192 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson SP· | 4.1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 78-47 | 6.30 | 78 |
| Anthony Banda RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-5 | 8.74 | 9 |
| Kody Funderburk RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20-11 | 1.74 | 20 |
| Cole Sands RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-4 | 3.27 | 7 |
| Justin Topa RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-8 | 3.55 | 10 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .321 | .354 | .358 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .259 | .336 | .509 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .227 | .350 | .454 |
| Yandy Diaz 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .337 | .425 | .500 |
| Jake Fraley RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .245 | .322 | .453 |
| Jonny DeLuca RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .286 | .322 | .482 |
| Ben Williamson 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .260 | .333 | .356 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .138 | .200 | .253 |
| Taylor Walls SS· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .212 | .281 | .250 |
| Hunter Feduccia C· | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .250 | .382 | .250 |
| Nick Fortes C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .290 | .338 | .406 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax RP· | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 31-20 | 6.35 | 31 |
| Jesse Scholtens RP | 4.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 72-47 | 3.20 | 72 |
| Cole Sulser RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26-17 | 3.45 | 26 |
| Bryan Baker RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-12 | 3.48 | 16 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningFortes grounded out to third.
- 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningKeaschall struck out looking.
- 6th InningWalls picked off and caught stealing second.
- 6th InningJeffers flied out to left.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningDíaz homered to right (359 feet), Aranda scored.0–4
- 3rd InningAranda singled to center, Feduccia scored and Simpson scored.0–2
- 7th InningLee homered to right (333 feet), Outman scored.2–4