SEA @ MIN
Target Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Logan Gilbert vs Joe RyanMLB.TVTwins.TVMariners.TVGray Media
Result readSeattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners 7 · Minnesota Twins 1
Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Seattle Mariners on the back of Seattle Mariners’s margin work and Minnesota Twins’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 53%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 6.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 53%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleRodríguez doubled to left, Rivas scored and Young scored.7–1
- ScoreYoung singled to left, Arozarena scored.2–1
- ScoreNaylor singled to left, Rodríguez scored.1–1
- ScoreNaylor homered to right (390 feet), Crawford scored and Rodríguez scored.5–1
- ScoreBuxton homered to left (389 feet).0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 1 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .182 | .344 | .260 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .197 | .277 | .402 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .256 | .333 | .355 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .220 | .295 | .349 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .297 | .385 | .450 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .256 | .315 | .512 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .270 | .329 | .508 |
| Mitch Garver C | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .206 | .341 | .235 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .278 | .352 | .407 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .149 | .264 | .189 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 93-64 | 4.03 | 93 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 1.35 | 12 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17-12 | 2.31 | 17 |
| Matt Brash RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-8 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 2.57 | 13 |
Minnesota Twins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .237 | .296 | .474 |
| Trevor Larnach LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .258 | .410 | .403 |
| Austin Martin LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .322 | .488 | .441 |
| Josh Bell 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .235 | .331 | .373 |
| Kody Clemens 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .185 | .274 | .354 |
| Victor Caratini C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .211 | .304 | .263 |
| Luke Keaschall 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .221 | .276 | .283 |
| Tristan Gray 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .269 | .316 | .462 |
| Royce Lewis 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .200 | .304 | .383 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan SP· | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 88-62 | 3.76 | 88 |
| Kody Funderburk RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-8 | 2.31 | 15 |
| Cole Sands RP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13-10 | 4.63 | 13 |
| Luis Garcia RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23-14 | 8.59 | 23 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningMartin flied out to center.
- 5th InningCanzone struck out looking.
- 3rd InningRaleigh struck out swinging.
- 7th InningMartin lined out to right.
- 5th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningRodríguez doubled to left, Rivas scored and Young scored.7–1
- 7th InningYoung singled to left, Arozarena scored.2–1
- 6th InningNaylor singled to left, Rodríguez scored.1–1
- 8th InningNaylor homered to right (390 feet), Crawford scored and Rodríguez scored.5–1
- 5th InningBuxton homered to left (389 feet).0–1