WSH @ NYM
Citi Field · Queens, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM ET49°F · 6 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Cade Cavalli vs David PetersonMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals 14 · New York Mets 2
Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Washington Nationals gets the model’s nod thanks to Washington Nationals’s margin advantage, with New York Mets’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 61%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 12.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 61%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 12.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Injury Report
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreYoung grounded out to first, Mead scored, Abrams to third.2–0
- ScoreMelendez reached on infield single to first, Bichette scored, Soto to second.9–2
- ScoreWood walked, Lile scored, Nuñez to second, Wiemer to third.4–1
- ScoreAbrams singled to right, Mead scored, Abrams to second, House to third.10–2
- ScoreMead hit by pitch, Wiemer scored, Wood to second, Nuñez to third.5–1
- ScoreWiemer reached on infield single to third, Young scored, Lile to second.3–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | .244 | .404 | .555 |
| Curtis Mead 1B· | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .226 | .314 | .484 |
| Brady House 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .225 | .283 | .369 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .286 | .394 | .524 |
| Jose Tena 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .271 | .314 | .354 |
| Jacob Young CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .237 | .282 | .351 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | .266 | .331 | .395 |
| Joey Wiemer RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .327 | .413 | .582 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | .200 | .314 | .211 |
| Keibert Ruiz C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | .182 | .207 | .309 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cavalli SP· | 6.0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 97-69 | 3.82 | 97 |
| Cionel Perez RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-11 | 7.07 | 16 |
| Paxton Schultz RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 3.60 | 14 |
| PJ Poulin RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-6 | 4.11 | 10 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .236 | .273 | .325 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .327 | .422 | .545 |
| MJ Melendez LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .296 | .367 | .519 |
| Austin Slater LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .217 | .305 | .386 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .216 | .260 | .318 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .234 | .250 | .383 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .186 | .247 | .279 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .226 | .284 | .302 |
| Luis Torrens C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .214 | .214 | .286 |
| Ronny Mauricio SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .227 | .227 | .227 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson SP· | 3.2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 80-48 | 6.53 | 80 |
| Sean Manaea RP | 2.2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 73-45 | 6.55 | 73 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. RP | 2.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 50-33 | 1.50 | 50 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningBichette grounded out to shortstop.
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningWood struck out swinging.
- 8th InningWiemer struck out looking.
- 7th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningRuiz flied out to left.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningYoung grounded out to first, Mead scored, Abrams to third.2–0
- 5th InningMelendez reached on infield single to first, Bichette scored, Soto to second.9–2
- 4th InningWood walked, Lile scored, Nuñez to second, Wiemer to third.4–1
- 6th InningAbrams singled to right, Mead scored, Abrams to second, House to third.10–2
- 4th InningMead hit by pitch, Wiemer scored, Wood to second, Nuñez to third.5–1
- 4th InningWiemer reached on infield single to third, Young scored, Lile to second.3–1
- 7th InningYoung singled to center, Wood scored, Abrams to second, Mead to third.13–2
- 7th InningWood doubled to center, Nuñez scored and Wiemer scored.12–2
- 1st InningAbrams singled to right, Wood scored, Mead to third.1–0
- 9th InningMead homered to center (392 feet).14–2
- 4th InningHouse homered to left center (385 feet), Nuñez scored, Wood scored and Mead scored.9–1
- 3rd InningSoto homered to left center (375 feet).2–1