InTheRafters.com

WSH @ NYM

Joshua Silvia
11–16 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET59°F · 4 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Miles Mikolas vs Freddy PeraltaMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 5 · New York Mets 4

Final
Washington Nationals16-20-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 50%
New York Mets13-22-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 45%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Washington Nationals because Washington Nationals owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Washington Nationals has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 62%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 1.

Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

New York Mets

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

New York Mets

Joey Gerber15-Day-ILNate LavenderDay-To-DayJose RojasDay-To-DayJoe JacquesDay-To-DayJorge Polanco10-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Joan AdonOutLuis Garcia Jr.Day-To-DayCole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-IL

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMelendez homered to right (359 feet), Bichette scored and Soto scored.3rd Inning3–3
  2. ScoreAbrams homered to right center (403 feet), Lile scored.8th Inning5–4
  3. ScoreAbrams singled to left, García Jr. scored.3rd Inning3–0
  4. 💣 Home RunVivas scored on error, Nuñez safe at first on throwing error by pitcher Peralta, Nuñez safe at third on error.2nd Inning1–0
  5. 🏃 DoubleVientos doubled to center, Soto scored.6th Inning3–4
  6. ScoreYoung singled to right, Nuñez scored.2nd Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals021000020570
New York Mets003001000471

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-3300001218.238.400.541
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·2-441200019.253.279.364
Daylen Lile LF·0-4410000012.258.321.383
CJ Abrams SS·2-3312311121.296.405.556
Jose Tena 2B·0-3300001217.255.309.333
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-441100009.286.378.333
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-4411000015.202.312.213
Drew Millas C·0-220000026.154.214.192
Curtis Mead 1B0-110000004.222.310.476
Keibert Ruiz C0-110000004.179.203.304
Jacob Young CF·1-4401100114.238.280.347

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Miles Mikolas SP·4.033313179-498.2379
Mitchell Parker RP3.021110034-224.7634
Richard Lovelady RP0.210000012-72.6312
Gus Varland RP1.110001022-132.8422

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Bo Bichette 3B·0-3310001015.230.272.317
Juan Soto LF·2-3322001015.345.441.569
MJ Melendez LF·2-2212310010.345.406.655
Austin Slater LF0-110000005.000.000.000
Mark Vientos 1B·1-4401100013.237.289.355
Brett Baty RF·0-220000009.211.255.311
Tyrone Taylor RF0-220000008.224.240.367
Marcus Semien 2B·0-4400000018.218.275.291
Carson Benge LF·1-4401000220.189.247.278
Luis Torrens C·0-220000019.200.200.267
Francisco Alvarez C1-110100004.226.313.405
Ronny Mauricio SS·0-4400000121.192.192.192

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Freddy Peralta SP·6.043136090-563.5290
Brooks Raley RP1.000002012-81.6912
Luke Weaver RP1.022201113-106.0013
Devin Williams RP1.010000014-108.0014

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningBichette walked.
  2. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  3. 9th InningMauricio struck out swinging.
  4. 7th InningMead flied out to center.
  5. 6th InningAbrams walked.
  6. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningMelendez homered to right (359 feet), Bichette scored and Soto scored.3–3
  2. 8th InningAbrams homered to right center (403 feet), Lile scored.5–4
  3. 3rd InningAbrams singled to left, García Jr. scored.3–0
  4. 2nd InningVivas scored on error, Nuñez safe at first on throwing error by pitcher Peralta, Nuñez safe at third on error.1–0
  5. 6th InningVientos doubled to center, Soto scored.3–4
  6. 2nd InningYoung singled to right, Nuñez scored.2–0

Trending