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InTheRafters.com

ATL @ COL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM MT46°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Grant Holmes vs Jose QuintanaMLB.TVBravesVisionRockies.TV
Result readAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 8 · Colorado Rockies 6

Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Atlanta Braves because Atlanta Braves owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Atlanta Braves has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 98%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Atlanta Braves

Colorado Rockies

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30
Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreHarris II homered to right (385 feet), Farmer scored.9th Inning8–6
  2. 🏃 TripleDubón tripled to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies scored and Olson scored.8th Inning5–6
  3. ScoreOlson homered to right (415 feet).4th Inning1–6
  4. 💣 Home RunCastro grounded out to first, Rumfield scored. Freeman scored, Johnston safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Olson.1st Inning0–5
  5. ScoreRumfield singled to center, Moniak scored, Goodman to third.1st Inning0–2
  6. ScoreRiley hit sacrifice fly to right, Dubón scored.8th Inning6–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves000100142891
Colorado Rockies510000000681

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. RF·2-4412001017.248.360.376
Drake Baldwin C·0-4400000215.299.377.485
Ozzie Albies 2B·1-4411001019.320.369.539
Matt Olson 1B·1-3321112016.297.378.633
Mauricio Dubon SS·2-5512300023.281.328.439
Austin Riley 3B·2-3312100115.202.281.323
Eli White CF·0-220000017.186.200.349
Mike Yastrzemski LF0-220000019.204.275.269
Jonah Heim C·0-3300101015.200.300.286
Kyle Farmer 3B0-001000000.333.308.417
Jorge Mateo SS·0-330000019.242.286.364
Michael Harris II CF1-111121004.324.358.569
Robert Suarez RP0-000000000.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Grant Holmes SP·5.076534187-564.3487
Anthony Molina RP2.000010026-150.0026
Didier Fuentes SP1.000000015-84.5015
Robert Suarez RP1.010001017-120.6617

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·0-4410001323.289.385.422
Mickey Moniak LF·2-5522110012.319.363.670
Hunter Goodman C·1-441110019.257.328.558
TJ Rumfield 1B·1-4411100014.263.328.407
Tyler Freeman RF·1-2211101014.293.379.362
Jordan Beck LF0-000000000.161.209.242
Troy Johnston RF·2-4402000016.320.376.460
Willi Castro 2B·0-4400100019.235.303.333
Ezequiel Tovar SS·0-3300001120.197.248.291
Jake McCarthy LF·0-2200001015.259.333.379
Brenton Doyle CF1-110100003.224.298.294

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jose Quintana SP·6.051103185-554.0785
Zach Agnos RP1.113221025-156.2725
Jaden Hill RP0.212211019-114.5019
Juan Mejia RP1.022221120-135.8720

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningTovar grounded out to second.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 9th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 6th InningDubón grounded out to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningHarris II homered to right (385 feet), Farmer scored.8–6
  2. 8th InningDubón tripled to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies scored and Olson scored.5–6
  3. 4th InningOlson homered to right (415 feet).1–6
  4. 1st InningCastro grounded out to first, Rumfield scored. Freeman scored, Johnston safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Olson.0–5
  5. 1st InningRumfield singled to center, Moniak scored, Goodman to third.0–2
  6. 8th InningRiley hit sacrifice fly to right, Dubón scored.6–6
  7. 2nd InningMoniak homered to right center (439 feet).0–6
  8. 1st InningGoodman hit a ground rule double, Julien scored, Moniak to third.0–1
  9. 7th InningHeim grounded out to second, Riley scored.2–6
  10. 1st InningFreeman reached on bunt single to first, Goodman scored, Rumfield to second.0–3

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