InTheRafters.com

CHW @ SD

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT62°F · 3 mph wind · overcast⚾ Noah Schultz vs German MarquezMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readChicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 8 · San Diego Padres 2

Final
Chicago White Sox17-20-1-0.4 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
San Diego Padres22-14+0.2 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 52% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Chicago White Sox gets the model’s nod thanks to San Diego Padres’s margin advantage, with Chicago White Sox’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 60%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 6.

Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

San Diego Padres

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

San Diego Padres

Will Wagner10-Day-ILJake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILJoe Musgrove15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-Day

Chicago White Sox

Kyle Teel10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILAustin Hays10-Day-ILDrew Thorpe60-Day-ILPrelander Berroa60-Day-IL

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26
San Diego Padres
RL Ramon Laureano LF · #5 JM J. Merrill CF · #3 FT F. Tatis Jr. RF · #23 MM Manny Machado 3B · #13 XB X. Bogaerts SS · #2 JC J. Cronenworth 2B · #9 GS Gavin Sheets 1B · #30 YD Yu Darvish P · #11 FF Freddy Fermin C · #54

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMachado singled to left, Tatis Jr. scored, Andujar to second.8th Inning8–2
  2. ScoreMurakami homered to right center (413 feet), Peters scored and Romo scored.2nd Inning6–0
  3. ScorePeters singled to center, Antonacci scored, Hays to second.8th Inning8–0
  4. ScoreHays grounded into fielder's choice to third, Meidroth scored, Antonacci out at second.2nd Inning2–0
  5. ScoreAndujar reached on infield single to shortstop, Johnson scored, Tatis Jr. to second.8th Inning8–1
  6. ScoreMontgomery homered to right center (385 feet).5th Inning7–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox060010010880
San Diego Padres000000020260

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Andrew Benintendi LF·0-4400100214.202.245.362
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-3311312024.239.383.584
Miguel Vargas 3B·1-5501000121.214.360.429
Colson Montgomery SS·1-3321111014.237.341.518
Luisangel Acuna CF0-110000017.178.247.192
Chase Meidroth 2B·1-4411000018.257.336.345
Sam Antonacci LF·2-4412100016.250.358.432
Austin Hays LF·1-4411100015.233.250.326
Derek Hill RF0-000000000.243.333.324
Tristan Peters CF·1-3311101116.275.333.319
Drew Romo C·0-1110003025.286.6151.143

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Noah Schultz SP·6.020032087-532.5387
Tyler Davis RP1.00000109-80.009
Osvaldo Bido RP1.032211031-187.1631
Jordan Hicks RP1.010001012-103.9512

San Diego Padres

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ramon Laureano LF·0-4400000115.243.306.423
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF·3-3313001017.270.343.322
Miguel Andujar 3B·1-4401100012.310.347.465
Manny Machado 3B·1-3301101022.225.336.382
Xander Bogaerts SS·0-3300001119.268.349.420
Ty France 1B·0-440000008.265.308.531
Nick Castellanos RF·0-4400000015.153.206.254
Freddy Fermin C·1-4401000114.176.290.255
Bryce Johnson RF·0-3310001217.217.280.304

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
German Marquez SP·5.057752295-525.7695
Wandy Peralta RP2.000012034-213.5234
Ron Marinaccio RP2.031111041-275.3041

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningBogaerts walked.
  2. 8th InningRomo walked, Peters to second, Hays to third.
  3. 1st InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  4. 9th InningAcuña struck out swinging.
  5. 8th InningFermin grounded out to shortstop.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningMachado singled to left, Tatis Jr. scored, Andujar to second.8–2
  2. 2nd InningMurakami homered to right center (413 feet), Peters scored and Romo scored.6–0
  3. 8th InningPeters singled to center, Antonacci scored, Hays to second.8–0
  4. 2nd InningHays grounded into fielder's choice to third, Meidroth scored, Antonacci out at second.2–0
  5. 8th InningAndujar reached on infield single to shortstop, Johnson scored, Tatis Jr. to second.8–1
  6. 5th InningMontgomery homered to right center (385 feet).7–0
  7. 2nd InningBenintendi hit sacrifice fly to center, Hays scored, Peters to third.3–0
  8. 2nd InningAntonacci singled to right, Montgomery scored, Meidroth to third.1–0

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