Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET57°F · 5 mph wind · overcast⚾ Jacob Misiorowski vs Jake IrvinMLB.TVBrewers.TVNationals.TVGray Media
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 6 · Washington Nationals 1

Final
Milwaukee Brewers19-16-2+1.2 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 63% · last 10: 65%
Washington Nationals16-20-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Milwaukee Brewers on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 5.

Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Washington Nationals

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Joan AdonOutLuis Garcia Jr.Day-To-DayCole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Garrett MitchellDay-To-DayJ.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreContreras singled to right, Frelick scored and Perkins scored, Hamilton to third.8th Inning6–1
  2. ScoreRengifo grounded into fielder's choice to first, Turang scored, Bauers out at second, Contreras to third.5th Inning3–0
  3. ScoreMitchell scored on a passed ball by Millas.1st Inning1–0
  4. ScoreHouse grounded out to third, Abrams scored.7th Inning4–1
  5. ScoreContreras singled to center, Hamilton scored, Turang to second.3rd Inning2–0
  6. ScoreMitchell scored on a passed ball by Millas.1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers1010200206120
Washington Nationals000000100122

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Garrett Mitchell CF·1-6611000324.238.385.369
Brice Turang 2B·1-4411001019.290.421.495
William Contreras C·4-5514300019.310.380.448
Jake Bauers 1B·0-3300002227.252.325.447
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-4401101018.191.263.281
Joey Ortiz SS0-000000000.197.284.197
Tyler Black 3B·2-3302100111.429.455.619
Gary Sanchez C0-2200000013.222.380.524
Sal Frelick RF·1-5511000020.211.306.326
Blake Perkins LF·0-5510000115.109.212.174
David Hamilton 3B·2-4412001016.253.359.278

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Misiorowski SP·5.100028085-582.8485
Aaron Ashby RP2.221124045-262.5745
Easton McGee SP1.000011015-80.0015

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-4400000219.230.390.524
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-4400000218.243.269.350
Curtis Mead 1B·0-3300001120.212.307.455
CJ Abrams SS·0-3310001122.288.400.541
Daylen Lile LF·1-3301001116.260.326.389
Brady House 3B·0-2200101112.221.285.363
Jose Tena 2B0-110000005.250.304.327
Jorbit Vivas 3B·0-220000028.277.368.323
Joey Wiemer RF0-110000015.321.406.571
Nasim Nunez 2B0-000000000.202.312.213
Drew Millas C·0-2200001110.148.220.185
Jacob Young CF·1-3301000110.240.282.346

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·5.064345098-604.9398
Cionel Perez RP2.020000027-176.1927
Andre Granillo RP1.032011040-277.3640
Paxton Schultz RP1.010001017-113.2717

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningFrelick reached on infield single to third.
  2. 1st InningAbrams grounded out to shortstop.
  3. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  4. 1st InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
  5. 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 7th InningSánchez grounded out to shortstop.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningContreras singled to right, Frelick scored and Perkins scored, Hamilton to third.6–1
  2. 5th InningRengifo grounded into fielder's choice to first, Turang scored, Bauers out at second, Contreras to third.3–0
  3. 1st InningMitchell scored on a passed ball by Millas.1–0
  4. 7th InningHouse grounded out to third, Abrams scored.4–1
  5. 3rd InningContreras singled to center, Hamilton scored, Turang to second.2–0
  6. 1st InningMitchell scored on a passed ball by Millas.1–0
  7. 5th InningBlack doubled to left, Contreras scored, Rengifo to third.4–0

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