NYM @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT60°F · 3 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Christian Scott vs Walbert UrenaMLB.TVAngels.TV
Result readNew York Mets
New York Mets 4 · Los Angeles Angels 3
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans New York Mets because Los Angeles Angels owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Mets has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 59%. Actual: New York Mets by 1.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 59%. Actual: New York Mets by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSemien singled to center, Soto scored and Alvarez scored.3–3
- ScoreMauricio homered to center (421 feet).4–3
- ScoreAlvarez singled to center, Bichette scored, Soto to second.1–3
- 💣 Home RunNeto scored on throwing error by catcher Alvarez.0–3
- 💣 Home RunNeto scored on throwing error by catcher Alvarez.0–3
- ScoreSoler homered to left center (403 feet), Trout scored.0–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .238 | .279 | .323 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .344 | .444 | .557 |
| MJ Melendez LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .323 | .382 | .613 |
| Austin Slater LF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .227 | .310 | .398 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | .207 | .265 | .304 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .219 | .274 | .289 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .181 | .238 | .266 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .212 | .241 | .346 |
| Ronny Mauricio SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .207 | .207 | .310 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott SP· | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 74-54 | 4.26 | 74 |
| Huascar Brazoban RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 1.26 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8-6 | 1.54 | 8 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-12 | 5.54 | 17 |
| Devin Williams RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-9 | 7.20 | 14 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .227 | .338 | .402 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | .248 | .426 | .558 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .174 | .311 | .302 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .236 | .328 | .481 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .241 | .302 | .371 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | .256 | .296 | .361 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .177 | .233 | .342 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .277 | .348 | .470 |
| Travis d'Arnaud C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .148 | .281 | .185 |
| Vaughn Grissom 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .333 | .404 | .513 |
| Sebastian Rivero C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .255 | .339 | .418 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walbert Urena SP· | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 68-41 | 3.86 | 68 |
| Brent Suter RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-11 | 4.12 | 17 |
| Chase Silseth RP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-4 | 3.18 | 6 |
| Jose Fermin RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21-14 | 2.45 | 21 |
| Nick Sandlin RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23-10 | 10.57 | 23 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningTrout struck out swinging.
- 3rd InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 8th InningFrazier struck out swinging.
- 6th InningSlater struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningSemien singled to center, Soto scored and Alvarez scored.3–3
- 7th InningMauricio homered to center (421 feet).4–3
- 6th InningAlvarez singled to center, Bichette scored, Soto to second.1–3
- 3rd InningNeto scored on throwing error by catcher Alvarez.0–3
- 3rd InningNeto scored on throwing error by catcher Alvarez.0–3
- 1st InningSoler homered to left center (403 feet), Trout scored.0–2