TEX @ DET
Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET41°F · 5 mph wind · drizzle⚾ MacKenzie Gore vs Jack FlahertyMLB.TVTigers.TV
Result readTexas Rangers
Texas Rangers 5 · Detroit Tigers 4
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Texas Rangers gets the model’s nod thanks to Detroit Tigers’s margin advantage, with Texas Rangers’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Detroit Tigers at 61%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 1.
Pre-game pick: Detroit Tigers at 61%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Detroit Tigers
- Framber Valdez SP · #59
- Jack Flaherty SP · #9
- Riley Greene LF · #31
- Kevin McGonigle SS · #7
Injury Report
Detroit Tigers
Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreGreene grounded into fielder's choice to second, Carpenter scored, Dingler out at second.4–4
- ScoreLee singled to right, Torkelson scored, Pérez to third.4–3
- ScoreJung singled to left, Nimmo scored.1–0
- ScorePérez singled to left, Greene scored and Jones scored, Torkelson to second.4–2
- ScoreJung singled to left, Nimmo scored, Seager to second, Carter to third.3–0
- ScoreJansen homered to left (377 feet).2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .302 | .378 | .468 |
| Josh Smith 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .188 | .300 | .212 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | .185 | .309 | .326 |
| Sam Haggerty LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .192 | .250 | .192 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | .211 | .319 | .421 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .321 | .381 | .538 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .216 | .326 | .311 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .222 | .256 | .381 |
| Alejandro Osuna LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .333 | .529 | .417 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .274 | .338 | .403 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .211 | .282 | .380 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Gore SP· | 3.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 94-55 | 4.67 | 94 |
| Cole Winn RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25-17 | 5.27 | 25 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22-11 | 1.84 | 22 |
| Tyler Alexander RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-9 | 0.59 | 14 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 1.76 | 9 |
| Jacob Latz RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 1.02 | 15 |
Detroit Tigers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | .246 | .380 | .316 |
| Kevin McGonigle SS· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .314 | .411 | .488 |
| Jahmai Jones RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .211 | .231 | .421 |
| Kerry Carpenter RF | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .221 | .317 | .500 |
| Dillon Dingler C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | .247 | .324 | .464 |
| Riley Greene LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .291 | .394 | .462 |
| Matt Vierling CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .212 | .270 | .348 |
| Spencer Torkelson 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | .233 | .363 | .437 |
| Wenceel Perez RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .140 | .204 | .280 |
| Hao-Yu Lee 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .214 | .290 | .393 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty SP· | 3.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 91-55 | 5.90 | 91 |
| Enmanuel De Jesus RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-9 | 8.68 | 17 |
| Brenan Hanifee RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Brant Hurter RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-8 | 1.84 | 13 |
| Burch Smith RP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 32-21 | 2.45 | 32 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningDingler singled to left, Carpenter to third.
- 5th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 5th InningCarpenter walked.
- 3rd InningOsuna struck out swinging.
- 1st InningTorres walked.
- 5th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningGreene grounded into fielder's choice to second, Carpenter scored, Dingler out at second.4–4
- 4th InningLee singled to right, Torkelson scored, Pérez to third.4–3
- 1st InningJung singled to left, Nimmo scored.1–0
- 4th InningPérez singled to left, Greene scored and Jones scored, Torkelson to second.4–2
- 3rd InningJung singled to left, Nimmo scored, Seager to second, Carter to third.3–0
- 3rd InningJansen homered to left (377 feet).2–0
- 3rd InningPederson hit sacrifice fly to left, Carter scored.4–0
- 8th InningOsuna doubled to left, Burger scored.5–4