ATL @ COL
Coors Field · Denver, Colorado
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM MT47°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Chris Sale vs Brennan BernardinoMLB.TVBravesVisionRockies.TV
Result readAtlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves 9 · Colorado Rockies 1
Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves’s scoring margin profile and Atlanta Braves’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 97%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 8.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 97%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 8.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreOlson homered to right (414 feet).9–1
- ScoreBaldwin singled to center, Mateo scored.3–0
- ScoreRiley homered to left center (438 feet), Harris II scored.8–1
- ScoreAlbies hit sacrifice fly to left, White scored.6–1
- ScoreWhite reached on bunt single to first, Riley scored, Mateo to second.4–1
- 🏃 DoubleBeck doubled to left, Karros scored, Beck to third.3–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .252 | .362 | .378 |
| Eli White CF | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .196 | .208 | .348 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .312 | .391 | .522 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .326 | .370 | .545 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .293 | .373 | .639 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .321 | .354 | .557 |
| Dominic Smith 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .333 | .366 | .545 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .274 | .325 | .427 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | .205 | .287 | .346 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .196 | .264 | .258 |
| Jorge Mateo SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .270 | .308 | .405 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale SP· | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 102-70 | 2.14 | 102 |
| Dylan Lee RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 1.15 | 14 |
| Hunter Stratton RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-9 | 0.00 | 12 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Beck LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .167 | .211 | .258 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .213 | .286 | .281 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .254 | .319 | .393 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .250 | .326 | .543 |
| Willi Castro 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .235 | .301 | .329 |
| Brett Sullivan C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .286 | .314 | .408 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .213 | .339 | .277 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .193 | .250 | .286 |
| Troy Johnston RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .311 | .366 | .447 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Bernardino RP· | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23-14 | 2.03 | 23 |
| Chase Dollander SP | 5.1 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 97-61 | 3.38 | 97 |
| Tanner Gordon RP | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 41-29 | 6.43 | 41 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningGoodman struck out swinging.
- 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningOlson homered to right (414 feet).9–1
- 2nd InningBaldwin singled to center, Mateo scored.3–0
- 5th InningRiley homered to left center (438 feet), Harris II scored.8–1
- 4th InningAlbies hit sacrifice fly to left, White scored.6–1
- 4th InningWhite reached on bunt single to first, Riley scored, Mateo to second.4–1
- 3rd InningBeck doubled to left, Karros scored, Beck to third.3–1
- 1st InningBaldwin homered to left (384 feet), Acuña Jr. scored.2–0
- 4th InningBaldwin doubled to right, Mateo scored, White to third.5–1