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InTheRafters.com

BAL @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET⚾ Kyle Bradish vs Ryan WeathersMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles 4 · New York Yankees 9

Final
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

New York Yankees gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with New York Yankees’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 85%. Actual: New York Yankees by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAlonso grounded into double play, third to second to first, Ward scored, Rutschman out at second, Henderson to third.6th Inning2–6
  2. ScoreGrisham homered to right center (412 feet), McMahon scored.4th Inning1–5
  3. ScoreWard grounded out to first, Beavers scored.7th Inning4–6
  4. ScoreChisholm Jr. singled to right, Judge scored on error and Bellinger scored, Chisholm Jr. safe at second on fielding error by right fielder O'Neill.7th Inning4–9
  5. ScoreBellinger reached on infield single to shortstop, Rice scored, Judge to third.7th Inning4–7
  6. ScoreBellinger homered to right center (363 feet).2nd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles000102100441
New York Yankees01221030—9111

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·1-3311101019.295.428.426
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-4411000212.209.275.460
Adley Rutschman C·0-4400000114.313.361.582
Pete Alonso 1B·1-4411110119.205.317.410
Tyler O'Neill RF·0-1100002013.220.360.293
Colton Cowser RF0-000000105.183.275.217
Coby Mayo 3B·0-220000009.160.233.309
Samuel Basallo C1-220110016.239.316.443
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·0-4400000017.260.278.462
Weston Wilson 3B·0-220000008.267.421.333
Dylan Beavers RF0-111000109.217.298.325
Blaze Alexander 3B·0-4400000324.174.240.203

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Bradish SP·4.065544289-515.0389
Keegan Akin RP1.021100117-1321.0017
Grant Wolfram RP1.000002014-94.0914
Anthony Nunez RP0.023320017-64.1117
Dietrich Enns RP1.010001014-103.3814
Nick Raquet RP1.000011020-1010.1320

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·2-4422211127.168.309.366
Ben Rice 1B·1-3311002125.330.447.717
Aaron Judge RF·0-3310002324.256.396.607
Cody Bellinger LF·4-4434420013.276.372.483
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-3301101015.209.295.330
Jasson Dominguez LF·1-4401000113.154.214.154
J.C. Escarra C·1-4401000015.200.222.343
Ryan McMahon 3B·1-4411000118.171.267.263
Jose Caballero SS·0-3310001121.259.308.411

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Weathers SP·5.033125190-553.0390
Jake Bird RP1.010010020-115.7320
Camilo Doval RP0.201111015-76.7515
Tim Hill RP0.10000001-11.381
Paul Blackburn RP2.000012029-183.4629

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningJudge walked.
  2. 7th InningAlexander struck out swinging.
  3. 8th InningCaballero grounded out to shortstop.
  4. 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
  5. 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningAlonso grounded into double play, third to second to first, Ward scored, Rutschman out at second, Henderson to third.2–6
  2. 4th InningGrisham homered to right center (412 feet), McMahon scored.1–5
  3. 7th InningWard grounded out to first, Beavers scored.4–6
  4. 7th InningChisholm Jr. singled to right, Judge scored on error and Bellinger scored, Chisholm Jr. safe at second on fielding error by right fielder O'Neill.4–9
  5. 7th InningBellinger reached on infield single to shortstop, Rice scored, Judge to third.4–7
  6. 2nd InningBellinger homered to right center (363 feet).0–1
  7. 6th InningBasallo doubled to right, Henderson scored, O'Neill to third.3–6
  8. 5th InningBellinger homered to right (354 feet).1–6
  9. 3rd InningBellinger doubled to center, Grisham scored, Judge to third.0–3
  10. 4th InningAlonso homered to left (413 feet).1–3
  11. 3rd InningCaballero scored on a passed ball by Rutschman, Grisham to third on passed ball by Rutschman.0–2
  12. 3rd InningCaballero scored on a passed ball by Rutschman, Grisham to third on passed ball by Rutschman.0–2

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