CHW @ SD
Petco Park · San Diego, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor5:40 PM PT62°F · 2 mph wind · overcast⚾ Sean Burke vs Michael KingMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readChicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox 4 · San Diego Padres 0
Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Chicago White Sox on the back of San Diego Padres’s margin work and Chicago White Sox’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 52%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 4.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 52%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
Chicago White Sox
Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreVargas singled to right, Peters scored and Benintendi scored.2–0
- ScorePeters hit sacrifice bunt to first, Antonacci scored, Quero to second.4–0
- ScoreQuero singled to right, Meidroth scored, Antonacci to third.3–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .204 | .245 | .357 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .231 | .372 | .564 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .216 | .357 | .422 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .231 | .338 | .504 |
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .259 | .341 | .345 |
| Sam Antonacci LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .271 | .368 | .458 |
| Derek Hill RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .333 | .324 |
| Edgar Quero C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .164 | .271 | .178 |
| Jarred Kelenic RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | .200 | .000 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .286 | .351 | .329 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 88-66 | 2.72 | 88 |
| Bryan Hudson RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-5 | 1.20 | 6 |
| Grant Taylor RP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30-16 | 2.70 | 30 |
| Seranthony Dominguez RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-5 | 3.95 | 6 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .243 | .305 | .417 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .261 | .333 | .311 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .210 | .277 | .336 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | .219 | .333 | .371 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | .261 | .346 | .409 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .225 | .274 | .461 |
| Miguel Andujar 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .320 | .354 | .467 |
| Luis Campusano C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .300 | .352 | .620 |
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .152 | .278 | .207 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 92-52 | 2.95 | 92 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 1.76 | 9 |
| Kyle Hart RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 5.51 | 14 |
| Jeremiah Estrada RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13-9 | 4.50 | 13 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningMachado struck out swinging.
- 6th InningPitch 12 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 6th InningPitch 11 : Ball 2
- 6th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningMachado walked.
- 9th InningMerrill reached on infield single to second.
- 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball 1
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningVargas singled to right, Peters scored and Benintendi scored.2–0
- 7th InningPeters hit sacrifice bunt to first, Antonacci scored, Quero to second.4–0
- 7th InningQuero singled to right, Meidroth scored, Antonacci to third.3–0