MIL @ WSH
Nationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor4:05 PM ET54°F · 6 mph wind · overcast⚾ Kyle Harrison vs Foster GriffinMLB.TVBrewers.TVNationals.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 4 · Washington Nationals 1
Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Milwaukee Brewers is the model’s call — Milwaukee Brewers on the margin numbers, Milwaukee Brewers on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 82%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 3.
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 82%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Milwaukee Brewers
- Jacob Misiorowski SP · #32
- Kyle Harrison SP · #52
- Aaron Ashby RP · #26
- DL Hall RP · #37
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
Injury Report
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
Milwaukee Brewers
J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAbrams singled to right, Mead scored.3–1
- ScoreOrtiz grounded out to second, Hamilton scored, Frelick to second, Lockridge to third.4–1
- ScoreLockridge singled to left, Bauers and Sánchez scored, Rengifo to second.3–0
- ScoreContreras scored, Rengifo safe at first on fielding error by third baseman House, Bauers to second, Sánchez to third.1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
Milwaukee Brewers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Mitchell CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | .239 | .385 | .364 |
| Brice Turang 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | .291 | .428 | .491 |
| William Contreras C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .308 | .381 | .442 |
| Gary Sanchez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .209 | .369 | .493 |
| Jake Bauers 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .243 | .319 | .430 |
| Luis Rengifo 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .194 | .262 | .280 |
| David Hamilton 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .253 | .359 | .278 |
| Brandon Lockridge LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .269 | .352 | .308 |
| Sal Frelick RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .212 | .304 | .323 |
| Joey Ortiz SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .186 | .269 | .186 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Harrison SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 93-66 | 2.12 | 93 |
| Grant Anderson RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 3.31 | 9 |
| DL Hall RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-4 | 1.88 | 6 |
| Trevor Megill RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-7 | 6.00 | 13 |
| Abner Uribe RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24-17 | 3.65 | 24 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .238 | .393 | .523 |
| Curtis Mead 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .214 | .304 | .457 |
| Brady House 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .222 | .283 | .359 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .289 | .403 | .535 |
| Jacob Young CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .241 | .281 | .343 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .252 | .318 | .378 |
| Joey Wiemer RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .310 | .394 | .552 |
| Jose Tena 2B | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .259 | .310 | .352 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .208 | .315 | .219 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. 1B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .238 | .264 | .343 |
| Keibert Ruiz C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .186 | .210 | .305 |
| Jorbit Vivas 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .273 | .364 | .318 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Griffin SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 97-57 | 2.27 | 97 |
| Brad Lord RP | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50-30 | 3.80 | 50 |
| Orlando Ribalta RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-10 | 0.00 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningBauers flied out to left.
- 8th InningBauers struck out swinging.
- 9th InningVivas grounded out to first.
- 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningTurang struck out swinging.
- 8th InningLockridge singled to right, Hamilton to second.
- 8th InningPitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningAbrams singled to right, Mead scored.3–1
- 8th InningOrtiz grounded out to second, Hamilton scored, Frelick to second, Lockridge to third.4–1
- 1st InningLockridge singled to left, Bauers and Sánchez scored, Rengifo to second.3–0
- 1st InningContreras scored, Rengifo safe at first on fielding error by third baseman House, Bauers to second, Sánchez to third.1–0