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InTheRafters.com

TEX @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET42°F · 4 mph wind · clear⚾ Kumar Rocker vs Keider MonteroMLB.TV
Result readDetroit Tigers

Texas Rangers 1 · Detroit Tigers 5

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Detroit Tigers: Detroit Tigers’s scoring margin profile and Texas Rangers’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 56%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTorres singled to right, McGonigle scored.2nd Inning0–5
  2. ScoreMcGonigle singled to center, Pérez scored.2nd Inning0–4
  3. ScoreDingler homered to left (443 feet), Keith and Greene scored.1st Inning0–3
  4. ScoreBurger homered to left (373 feet).4th Inning1–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers000100000170
Detroit Tigers32000000—5120

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Evan Carter CF·0-4400000114.177.298.313
Corey Seager SS·1-4401000013.212.317.415
Josh Jung 3B·2-440200008.327.385.545
Joc Pederson 1B·0-4400000111.205.312.295
Jake Burger 1B·1-441111019.223.255.400
Alejandro Osuna LF·0-4400000114.250.429.313
Ezequiel Duran LF·1-3301001017.277.347.400
Josh Smith 2B·2-4402000011.202.308.225
Danny Jansen C·0-2200001116.205.284.370

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kumar Rocker SP·2.075502143-244.7143
Cal Quantrill RP3.020022056-304.5056
Peyton Gray RP2.020012035-260.0035
Gavin Collyer RP1.010001016-100.0016

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle SS·1-5511100119.310.404.476
Gleyber Torres 2B·2-220210009.259.389.328
Hao-Yu Lee 3B0-220000008.200.273.367
Colt Keith 3B·2-3312001115.337.370.411
Riley Greene LF·2-4412000118.298.397.463
Dillon Dingler C·2-4412310014.257.330.495
Kerry Carpenter RF·0-4400000114.211.305.478
Spencer Torkelson 1B·0-4400000116.224.352.421
Wenceel Perez RF·2-3312001116.170.241.302
Jace Jung 3B·1-3301001121.250.500.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Keider Montero SP·6.251122185-553.4885
Drew Anderson RP2.120003028-205.1228

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningJung walked.
  2. 6th InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
  3. 8th InningMcGonigle struck out swinging.
  4. 6th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 6th InningTorkelson struck out swinging.
  6. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningTorres singled to right, McGonigle scored.0–5
  2. 2nd InningMcGonigle singled to center, Pérez scored.0–4
  3. 1st InningDingler homered to left (443 feet), Keith and Greene scored.0–3
  4. 4th InningBurger homered to left (373 feet).1–5

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