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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MT63°F · 2 mph wind · overcast⚾ Spencer Strider vs Kyle FreelandMLB.TVBravesVisionRockies.TV
Result readAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 11 · Colorado Rockies 6

Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Atlanta Braves on the back of Atlanta Braves’s margin work and Atlanta Braves’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 98%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreEli White challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Eli White walks. Ozzie Albies scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Austin Riley to 2nd.5th Inning5–4
  2. ScoreTovar hit sacrifice fly to center, Johnston scored.5th Inning6–5
  3. 🏃 DoubleHeim doubled to right, White scored and Albies scored.9th Inning10–6
  4. ScoreRumfield singled to center, Julien scored.1st Inning0–1
  5. ScoreMateo reached on infield single to second, Heim scored.9th Inning11–6
  6. ScoreAlbies singled to right, Yastrzemski scored.6th Inning7–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves03003200311140
Colorado Rockies1012100106110

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Mauricio Dubon SS·0-3300002124.267.328.417
Drake Baldwin C·2-5512000120.315.391.517
Ozzie Albies 2B·2-3332102023.333.384.548
Matt Olson 1B·2-4422101119.299.380.650
Austin Riley 3B·1-5501100317.205.284.341
Eli White CF·2-4412101127.220.245.400
Jonah Heim C·2-4422510017.231.311.410
Jorge Mateo SS·2-5512210122.286.318.476
Jose Azocar LF·0-220000018.000.000.000
Mike Yastrzemski LF1-331100008.200.266.260

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Spencer Strider SP·3.143356187-488.1087
Aaron Bummer RP1.032202116-135.5616
Didier Fuentes SP0.20000008-64.228
Dylan Lee RP1.00000209-71.089
Reynaldo Lopez SP1.010011012-73.2812
Tyler Kinley RP1.011102111-81.8011
Robert Suarez RP1.020000016-110.6116

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·0-4410001426.276.376.402
Mickey Moniak LF·2-4422321115.327.374.724
Hunter Goodman C·0-5500000317.240.313.521
TJ Rumfield 1B·3-5513210118.268.329.425
Troy Johnston RF·2-3312002124.321.385.453
Willi Castro 2B·2-5502000218.244.306.333
Brett Sullivan C·0-3300001114.269.309.385
Ezequiel Tovar SS·1-3301100013.197.250.287
Jake McCarthy LF·1-3311001014.262.343.410

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Freeland SP·4.186637298-665.0498
Antonio Senzatela RP2.232211042-241.2142
Victor Vodnik RP1.000011017-107.2417
Jimmy Herget RP1.033310028-194.5028

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningMauricio Dubón challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Mauricio Dubón walks.
  2. 8th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  3. 9th InningAlbies walked.
  4. 8th InningBaldwin struck out swinging.
  5. 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningEli White challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Eli White walks. Ozzie Albies scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Austin Riley to 2nd.5–4
  2. 5th InningTovar hit sacrifice fly to center, Johnston scored.6–5
  3. 9th InningHeim doubled to right, White scored and Albies scored.10–6
  4. 1st InningRumfield singled to center, Julien scored.0–1
  5. 9th InningMateo reached on infield single to second, Heim scored.11–6
  6. 6th InningAlbies singled to right, Yastrzemski scored.7–5
  7. 4th InningMoniak homered to right (422 feet), McCarthy scored.3–4
  8. 3rd InningRumfield homered to right center (423 feet).3–2
  9. 5th InningHeim hit sacrifice fly to left, Olson scored.6–4
  10. 5th InningRiley reached on infield single to third, Baldwin scored, Olson to second, Albies to third.4–4
  11. 2nd InningHeim homered to center (425 feet), Olson scored.2–1
  12. 8th InningMoniak homered to right center (438 feet).8–6
  13. 6th InningOlson doubled to center, Albies scored.8–5
  14. 2nd InningMateo homered to left (407 feet).3–1

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