ATL @ COL
Coors Field · Denver, Colorado
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MT63°F · 2 mph wind · overcast⚾ Spencer Strider vs Kyle FreelandMLB.TVBravesVisionRockies.TV
Result readAtlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves 11 · Colorado Rockies 6
Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Atlanta Braves on the back of Atlanta Braves’s margin work and Atlanta Braves’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 98%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 5.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 98%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreEli White challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Eli White walks. Ozzie Albies scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Austin Riley to 2nd.5–4
- ScoreTovar hit sacrifice fly to center, Johnston scored.6–5
- 🏃 DoubleHeim doubled to right, White scored and Albies scored.10–6
- ScoreRumfield singled to center, Julien scored.0–1
- ScoreMateo reached on infield single to second, Heim scored.11–6
- ScoreAlbies singled to right, Yastrzemski scored.7–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| Colorado Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | .267 | .328 | .417 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .315 | .391 | .517 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | .333 | .384 | .548 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .299 | .380 | .650 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .205 | .284 | .341 |
| Eli White CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | .220 | .245 | .400 |
| Jonah Heim C· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .231 | .311 | .410 |
| Jorge Mateo SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .286 | .318 | .476 |
| Jose Azocar LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .200 | .266 | .260 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider SP· | 3.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 87-48 | 8.10 | 87 |
| Aaron Bummer RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16-13 | 5.56 | 16 |
| Didier Fuentes SP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-6 | 4.22 | 8 |
| Dylan Lee RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9-7 | 1.08 | 9 |
| Reynaldo Lopez SP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-7 | 3.28 | 12 |
| Tyler Kinley RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11-8 | 1.80 | 11 |
| Robert Suarez RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-11 | 0.61 | 16 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard Julien 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | .276 | .376 | .402 |
| Mickey Moniak LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .327 | .374 | .724 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .240 | .313 | .521 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .268 | .329 | .425 |
| Troy Johnston RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | .321 | .385 | .453 |
| Willi Castro 2B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .244 | .306 | .333 |
| Brett Sullivan C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .269 | .309 | .385 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .197 | .250 | .287 |
| Jake McCarthy LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .262 | .343 | .410 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland SP· | 4.1 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 98-66 | 5.04 | 98 |
| Antonio Senzatela RP | 2.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 42-24 | 1.21 | 42 |
| Victor Vodnik RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-10 | 7.24 | 17 |
| Jimmy Herget RP | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28-19 | 4.50 | 28 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningMauricio Dubón challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Mauricio Dubón walks.
- 8th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 9th InningAlbies walked.
- 8th InningBaldwin struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningEli White challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Eli White walks. Ozzie Albies scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Austin Riley to 2nd.5–4
- 5th InningTovar hit sacrifice fly to center, Johnston scored.6–5
- 9th InningHeim doubled to right, White scored and Albies scored.10–6
- 1st InningRumfield singled to center, Julien scored.0–1
- 9th InningMateo reached on infield single to second, Heim scored.11–6
- 6th InningAlbies singled to right, Yastrzemski scored.7–5
- 4th InningMoniak homered to right (422 feet), McCarthy scored.3–4
- 3rd InningRumfield homered to right center (423 feet).3–2
- 5th InningHeim hit sacrifice fly to left, Olson scored.6–4
- 5th InningRiley reached on infield single to third, Baldwin scored, Olson to second, Albies to third.4–4
- 2nd InningHeim homered to center (425 feet), Olson scored.2–1
- 8th InningMoniak homered to right center (438 feet).8–6
- 6th InningOlson doubled to center, Albies scored.8–5
- 2nd InningMateo homered to left (407 feet).3–1