CHW @ SD
Petco Park · San Diego, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM PT63°F · 6 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Anthony Kay vs Griffin CanningMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox 3 · San Diego Padres 4
Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
San Diego Padres is the model’s call — San Diego Padres on the margin numbers, Chicago White Sox on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 66%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 1.
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 66%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
Chicago White Sox
Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreFermin walked, Bogaerts scored on a passed ball by Romo, France to third on passed ball by Romo.1–3
- ScoreBogaerts reached on infield single to third, Laureano scored, Merrill to third.3–4
- ScoreHill homered to center (409 feet), Meidroth scored.3–3
- ScoreAndujar homered to left center (407 feet).1–1
- ScoreMachado homered to left center (397 feet).1–2
- ScoreRomo homered to right (363 feet).1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Antonacci LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .255 | .361 | .431 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .223 | .362 | .545 |
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .200 | .241 | .350 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .220 | .359 | .424 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | .227 | .343 | .496 |
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .267 | .346 | .350 |
| Jarred Kelenic RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .167 | .286 | .167 |
| Derek Hill RF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .263 | .349 | .421 |
| Edgar Quero C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .162 | .267 | .176 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .284 | .346 | .324 |
| Luisangel Acuna CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .169 | .235 | .182 |
| Drew Romo C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | .300 | .563 | 1.200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Kay SP· | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 86-53 | 5.70 | 86 |
| Jordan Leasure RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-6 | 6.46 | 10 |
| Tyler Davis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-11 | 2.25 | 18 |
| Bryan Hudson RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26-18 | 1.13 | 26 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | .237 | .303 | .407 |
| Miguel Andujar 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .316 | .349 | .494 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .211 | .276 | .333 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .229 | .338 | .404 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .269 | .351 | .412 |
| Ty France 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .283 | .321 | .528 |
| Nick Castellanos RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .164 | .215 | .279 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .222 | .271 | .456 |
| Bryce Johnson RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .280 | .304 |
| Freddy Fermin C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .170 | .292 | .245 |
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .147 | .270 | .200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning SP· | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 73-42 | 1.80 | 73 |
| Adrian Morejon RP | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 31-23 | 6.00 | 31 |
| Jason Adam RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-9 | 2.00 | 17 |
| Mason Miller RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15-11 | 1.10 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningFrance grounded out to shortstop.
- 7th InningFermin grounded out to shortstop.
- 6th InningVargas struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningFermin walked, Bogaerts scored on a passed ball by Romo, France to third on passed ball by Romo.1–3
- 8th InningBogaerts reached on infield single to third, Laureano scored, Merrill to third.3–4
- 7th InningHill homered to center (409 feet), Meidroth scored.3–3
- 4th InningAndujar homered to left center (407 feet).1–1
- 4th InningMachado homered to left center (397 feet).1–2
- 3rd InningRomo homered to right (363 feet).1–0