CLE @ KC
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Tanner Bibee vs Michael WachaMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians 2 · Kansas City Royals 6
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Kansas City Royals because Cleveland Guardians owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Kansas City Royals has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 65%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 4.
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 65%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
Injury Report
Kansas City Royals
Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScorePasquantino singled to right, Witt Jr. scored.2–6
- ScorePerez singled to center, Pasquantino scored.2–2
- ScoreLoftin singled to left, Jensen scored and Perez scored, Thomas to third.2–4
- ScoreWitt Jr. homered to left (422 feet).2–1
- ScoreCaglianone homered to right (421 feet).2–5
- ScoreFry homered to left center (406 feet), Bazzana scored.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 6 | 7 | 0 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .217 | .311 | .279 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .284 | .351 | .500 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .218 | .338 | .414 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .203 | .347 | .354 |
| Travis Bazzana 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .200 | .385 | .200 |
| David Fry RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .262 | .392 | .500 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .279 | .315 | .490 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .130 | .193 | .195 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .261 | .336 | .374 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee SP· | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 77-48 | 4.58 | 77 |
| Matt Festa RP | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28-14 | 4.76 | 28 |
| Connor Brogdon RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24-15 | 4.50 | 24 |
| Peyton Pallette RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-11 | 4.91 | 21 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .262 | .324 | .415 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .281 | .354 | .424 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .198 | .289 | .364 |
| Salvador Perez C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .207 | .245 | .356 |
| Carter Jensen C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .231 | .319 | .423 |
| Lane Thomas CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .234 | .380 | .297 |
| Jac Caglianone RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .257 | .342 | .446 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | .231 | .349 | .330 |
| Nick Loftin 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .257 | .366 | .343 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha SP· | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 79-54 | 3.05 | 79 |
| Matt Strahm RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-6 | 3.29 | 7 |
| Alex Lange RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 6.14 | 9 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningPasquantino singled to right, Witt Jr. scored.2–6
- 7th InningPerez flied out to right.
- 7th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningCollins walked.
- 8th InningThomas struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningPasquantino singled to right, Witt Jr. scored.2–6
- 4th InningPerez singled to center, Pasquantino scored.2–2
- 4th InningLoftin singled to left, Jensen scored and Perez scored, Thomas to third.2–4
- 4th InningWitt Jr. homered to left (422 feet).2–1
- 6th InningCaglianone homered to right (421 feet).2–5
- 2nd InningFry homered to left center (406 feet), Bazzana scored.2–0