MIN @ WSH
Nationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET⚾ Taj Bradley vs Cade CavalliMLB.TVTwins.TVNationals.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins 11 · Washington Nationals 3
Final
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Minnesota Twins gets the model’s nod thanks to Minnesota Twins’s margin advantage, with Washington Nationals’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 77%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 8.
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 77%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 8.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
Injury Report
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
Minnesota Twins
Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreMead singled to left, Lile scored.6–2
- ScoreAbrams grounded into fielder's choice to second, Lile scored, Mead third.0–1
- 🏃 DoubleLee doubled to left, Clemens scored, Keaschall to third.11–3
- ScoreBell singled to right, Jeffers scored.7–2
- 🏃 DoubleWood doubled to left, Tena scored.7–3
- 🏃 DoubleLarnach doubled to center, Keaschall scored and Lee scored.6–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| Washington Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Minnesota Twins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton CF· | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .250 | .307 | .536 |
| Trevor Larnach LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .288 | .418 | .425 |
| Ryan Jeffers C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | .286 | .394 | .473 |
| Josh Bell 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .218 | .300 | .331 |
| Austin Martin LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .325 | .470 | .416 |
| Kody Clemens 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | .200 | .319 | .363 |
| Luke Keaschall 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23 | .227 | .297 | .303 |
| Brooks Lee SS· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .270 | .323 | .435 |
| Royce Lewis 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .169 | .270 | .312 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 96-63 | 2.87 | 96 |
| Eric Orze RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-11 | 4.86 | 16 |
| Anthony Banda RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19-12 | 8.40 | 19 |
| Luis Garcia RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13-8 | 10.61 | 13 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .232 | .380 | .507 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .248 | .316 | .376 |
| Curtis Mead 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .227 | .318 | .467 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .287 | .395 | .516 |
| Jacob Young CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .224 | .262 | .319 |
| Jorbit Vivas 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .247 | .333 | .288 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .216 | .322 | .225 |
| Jose Tena 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .288 | .344 | .424 |
| Keibert Ruiz C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .182 | .203 | .303 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cavalli SP· | 4.0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 76-48 | 4.15 | 76 |
| Paxton Schultz RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25-14 | 2.77 | 25 |
| Andre Granillo RP | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33-20 | 9.64 | 33 |
| Orlando Ribalta RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 34-20 | 2.25 | 34 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningClemens walked.
- 4th InningKeaschall walked, Clemens to second, Martin to third.
- 9th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 8th InningVivas grounded out to second.
- 4th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 2nd InningNuñez walked.
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningMead singled to left, Lile scored.6–2
- 1st InningAbrams grounded into fielder's choice to second, Lile scored, Mead third.0–1
- 9th InningLee doubled to left, Clemens scored, Keaschall to third.11–3
- 7th InningBell singled to right, Jeffers scored.7–2
- 7th InningWood doubled to left, Tena scored.7–3
- 4th InningLarnach doubled to center, Keaschall scored and Lee scored.6–1
- 4th InningLewis hit sacrifice fly to right, Clemens scored, Keaschall to third.4–1
- 8th InningBuxton homered to left (387 feet), Lee scored and Lewis scored.10–3
- 4th InningLee grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Martin scored on fielding error by pitcher Cavalli, Keaschall to second, Clemens to third.3–1
- 2nd InningLee doubled to right, Keaschall scored and Clemens scored.2–1