ATL @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:10 PM PT⚾ Martin Perez vs Bryan WooMLB.TVBravesVisionMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves 1 · Seattle Mariners 3
Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Seattle Mariners: Atlanta Braves’s scoring margin profile and Atlanta Braves’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 94%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 2.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 94%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleYoung doubled to right, Naylor scored.1–3
- ScoreSmith hit sacrifice fly to center, Yastrzemski scored.1–2
- ScoreRodríguez homered to center (436 feet).0–2
- ScoreRaleigh grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Pereda scored, Crawford out at second, Rivas to third.0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .303 | .379 | .510 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .322 | .374 | .541 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .301 | .388 | .671 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .296 | .328 | .513 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .267 | .329 | .412 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .203 | .277 | .350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .209 | .269 | .264 |
| Sean Murphy C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .167 | .167 | .167 |
| Jorge Mateo SS | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .300 | .438 |
| Eli White CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .246 | .389 |
| James Jarvis SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Didier Fuentes SP | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Dominic Smith 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .324 | .351 | .521 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez SP· | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 84-54 | 2.38 | 84 |
| Tyler Kinley RP | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-5 | 2.76 | 9 |
| Didier Fuentes SP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 47-29 | 4.26 | 47 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .206 | .367 | .353 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .175 | .258 | .358 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .260 | .327 | .407 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .234 | .298 | .343 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .265 | .354 | .412 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .276 | .342 | .403 |
| Connor Joe 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .174 | .269 | .348 |
| Jhonny Pereda C· | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .400 | .400 | .400 |
| Dominic Canzone RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .263 | .329 | .474 |
| Mitch Garver C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .178 | .339 | .200 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .143 | .269 | .187 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo SP· | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 98-66 | 4.02 | 98 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 2.20 | 13 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21-17 | 1.62 | 21 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-7 | 1.89 | 11 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningCanzone flied out to left.
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningYastrzemski singled to center.
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 3
- 5th InningJarvis struck out looking.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningYoung doubled to right, Naylor scored.1–3
- 8th InningSmith hit sacrifice fly to center, Yastrzemski scored.1–2
- 6th InningRodríguez homered to center (436 feet).0–2
- 3rd InningRaleigh grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Pereda scored, Crawford out at second, Rivas to third.0–1