InTheRafters.com

MIN @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
11–16 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET67°F · 1 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Bailey Ober vs Miles MikolasESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVTwins.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Minnesota Twins 2 · Washington Nationals 15

Final
Minnesota Twins16-21-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 40%
Washington Nationals17-20-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Washington Nationals on the back of Minnesota Twins’s margin work and Washington Nationals’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 63%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 13.

Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Washington Nationals

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Luis Garcia Jr.Day-To-DayJoan AdonOutCole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-IL

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCole Sands15-Day-ILGarrett Acton15-Day-IL

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTena homered to center (403 feet).8th Inning2–15
  2. ScoreWallner singled to right, Keaschall scored.3rd Inning1–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleAbrams doubled to center, Wood scored, Mead to third.4th Inning1–1
  4. ScoreAbrams homered to right center (403 feet), Wood scored, Lile scored and Mead scored.8th Inning2–14
  5. ScoreHouse homered to center (425 feet), Lile scored.7th Inning2–8
  6. 🏃 TripleNuñez tripled to right, Tena scored.6th Inning2–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Minnesota Twins001010000230
Washington Nationals00012327—15140

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·0-330000019.245.301.524
James Outman CF0-110000001.125.176.188
Brooks Lee SS·0-4400000013.261.313.420
Trevor Larnach LF·0-4400000113.274.402.405
Josh Bell 1B·0-4400000012.211.292.320
Kody Clemens 1B·0-2200000110.195.313.354
Ryan Jeffers C0-110000003.283.391.467
Victor Caratini C·0-3300000118.209.308.256
Luke Keaschall 2B·1-331100007.230.298.311
Matt Wallner RF·2-3312210013.189.283.330
Tristan Gray 3B·0-3300000112.259.302.431

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bailey Ober SP·5.065523182-524.1982
Andrew Morris RP0.221101014-95.1714
Kody Funderburk RP1.001112017-92.5117
Justin Topa RP0.246621132-187.8832
Luis Garcia RP0.222200214-911.7014

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·2-4422201225.239.386.507
Daylen Lile LF·0-3320002120.243.319.368
Curtis Mead 1B·0-3310002224.218.322.449
CJ Abrams SS·3-5523510017.299.401.559
Brady House 3B·2-552231009.236.293.398
Jose Tena 2B·2-5522210016.297.348.484
Jacob Young CF·2-5522000018.231.268.322
Drew Millas C·2-4422210112.172.238.276
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-4401100118.217.320.245

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Miles Mikolas SP·5.132203174-527.4474
Mitchell Parker RP2.200002027-203.3827
Zak Kent RP1.000000010-83.8610

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningMead walked, Lile to second, Wood to third.
  2. 7th InningCaratini struck out swinging.
  3. 5th InningCaratini grounded out to first.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningTena homered to center (403 feet).2–15
  2. 3rd InningWallner singled to right, Keaschall scored.1–0
  3. 4th InningAbrams doubled to center, Wood scored, Mead to third.1–1
  4. 8th InningAbrams homered to right center (403 feet), Wood scored, Lile scored and Mead scored.2–14
  5. 7th InningHouse homered to center (425 feet), Lile scored.2–8
  6. 6th InningNuñez tripled to right, Tena scored.2–6
  7. 8th InningWood singled to right, Young scored and Millas scored.2–10
  8. 5th InningWallner homered to center (420 feet).2–1
  9. 6th InningTena doubled to center, House scored.2–5
  10. 6th InningHouse doubled to left, Abrams scored.2–4
  11. 5th InningMillas homered to center (398 feet), Young scored.2–3

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