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InTheRafters.com

NYM @ COL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:20 PM MT⚾ Freddy Peralta vs Michael LorenzenMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readNew York Mets

New York Mets 10 · Colorado Rockies 5

Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Mets because New York Mets owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Mets has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 67%. Actual: New York Mets by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

Colorado Rockies

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

New York Mets

Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4
Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRumfield homered to right (389 feet).6th Inning8–1
  2. ScoreSemien homered to left (395 feet), Baty scored.9th Inning10–4
  3. ScoreBenge singled to right, Baty scored and Semien scored.4th Inning3–0
  4. ScoreFreeman hit by pitch, Moniak scored, Rumfield to second, Goodman to third.9th Inning10–5
  5. ScoreMcCarthy homered to right center (401 feet), Johnston scored.6th Inning8–4
  6. 💣 Home RunTaylor grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Torrens scored on error, Bichette out at second, Taylor safe at second on throwing error by second baseman Julien.6th Inning8–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Mets10030400210150
Colorado Rockies0000040015131

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Juan Soto LF·1-4411210017.299.396.506
Bo Bichette 3B·2-5502100015.242.277.315
MJ Melendez LF·2-2202001013.333.409.615
Tyrone Taylor RF0-220010005.190.215.302
Mark Vientos 1B·0-4400001220.239.290.413
Brett Baty RF·2-4422001021.214.284.311
Marcus Semien 2B·4-5534210012.231.279.323
Carson Benge LF·2-5522200118.202.272.327
Francisco Alvarez C·2-4412101016.240.319.400
Luis Torrens C·0-331010009.179.220.256

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Freddy Peralta SP·5.040021091-563.1291
Tobias Myers RP0.254400221-133.5721
Brooks Raley RP1.100012014-101.2914
Luke Weaver RP1.010002020-164.7020
Sean Manaea RP0.131101017-96.8517
Devin Williams RP0.20000209-66.179

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·2-5502000124.280.374.398
Mickey Moniak LF·1-5511000217.327.371.720
Hunter Goodman C·1-4401001124.233.308.496
TJ Rumfield 1B·3-4413111020.274.336.444
Tyler Freeman RF·2-4412100018.292.387.369
Troy Johnston RF·2-4412100113.324.385.459
Jordan Beck LF0-110000014.171.213.286
Kyle Karros 3B·1-4401001114.218.341.277
Ezequiel Tovar SS·0-4400000121.186.237.271
Jake McCarthy LF·1-4411210017.262.338.446

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Lorenzen SP·5.0117732187-536.9287
Zach Agnos RP4.043311159-336.3559

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningTovar struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningPitch 11 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 8th InningPitch 10 : Ball 3
  4. 5th InningVientos walked.
  5. 3rd InningGoodman walked.
  6. 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 5th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningRumfield homered to right (389 feet).8–1
  2. 9th InningSemien homered to left (395 feet), Baty scored.10–4
  3. 4th InningBenge singled to right, Baty scored and Semien scored.3–0
  4. 9th InningFreeman hit by pitch, Moniak scored, Rumfield to second, Goodman to third.10–5
  5. 6th InningMcCarthy homered to right center (401 feet), Johnston scored.8–4
  6. 6th InningTaylor grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Torrens scored on error, Bichette out at second, Taylor safe at second on throwing error by second baseman Julien.8–0
  7. 6th InningAlvarez singled to left, Semien scored, Benge to third.5–0
  8. 6th InningJohnston doubled to right, Freeman scored.8–2
  9. 6th InningSoto hit sacrifice fly to right, Benge scored.6–0
  10. 1st InningSoto homered to left center (435 feet).1–0
  11. 4th InningTorrens grounded out to second, Benge scored.4–0
  12. 6th InningBichette singled to center, Alvarez scored, Torrens to third.7–0

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