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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Nathan Eovaldi vs Will WarrenMLB.TVPrime Video
Result readTexas Rangers

Texas Rangers 6 · New York Yankees 1

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Texas Rangers is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, New York Yankees on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 84%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSeager singled to right, McCutchen scored, Nimmo to second.4th Inning6–0
  2. ScoreCarter homered to right (368 feet), Duran scored.3rd Inning4–0
  3. ScoreSeager homered to right (350 feet).1st Inning1–0
  4. ScoreJudge homered to center (399 feet).6th Inning6–1
  5. ScoreDuran hit sacrifice fly to center, Burger scored, McCutchen to third.4th Inning5–0
  6. 🏃 DoubleDuran doubled to left, Nimmo scored.3rd Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers103200000680
New York Yankees000001000130

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·0-3310002128.293.375.451
Ezequiel Duran LF·1-3311201119.303.372.461
Corey Seager SS·2-5512210221.214.314.420
Josh Jung 3B·0-5500000322.323.375.516
Evan Carter CF·1-4411210219.178.299.336
Kyle Higashioka C·0-4400000317.204.283.278
Jake Burger 1B·2-4412000013.218.253.380
Alejandro Osuna LF·1-3301001116.238.429.286
Andrew McCutchen LF·1-3311001118.235.286.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nathan Eovaldi SP·8.0311081101-724.15101
Jacob Latz RP1.000011021-130.9621

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-4400000216.164.298.353
Aaron Judge RF·1-4411110216.273.407.659
Cody Bellinger LF·1-3301001016.285.381.508
Jasson Dominguez LF·0-4400000119.200.250.367
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·0-3300000113.209.295.341
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·0-330000018.196.288.413
Austin Wells C·1-3301000113.195.336.310
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-330000018.209.287.330
Jose Caballero SS·0-2200000013.256.311.400

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Will Warren SP·4.076637290-523.4690
Yerry De los Santos RP3.110015054-381.6954
Ryan Yarbrough RP1.200012029-203.5529

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningDuran walked.
  2. 6th InningNimmo struck out looking.
  3. 6th InningOsuna walked.
  4. 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  5. 6th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Looking

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningSeager singled to right, McCutchen scored, Nimmo to second.6–0
  2. 3rd InningCarter homered to right (368 feet), Duran scored.4–0
  3. 1st InningSeager homered to right (350 feet).1–0
  4. 6th InningJudge homered to center (399 feet).6–1
  5. 4th InningDuran hit sacrifice fly to center, Burger scored, McCutchen to third.5–0
  6. 3rd InningDuran doubled to left, Nimmo scored.2–0

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