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In The Rafters

MIN @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
15–22 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM ET66°F · 1 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Simeon Woods Richardson vs Jake IrvinMLB.TVTwins.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Minnesota Twins 5 · Washington Nationals 7

Final
Minnesota Twins19-23-0.2 net/g (SOS-adj -0.4) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Washington Nationals20-22-0.2 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Washington Nationals on the back of Washington Nationals’s margin work and Washington Nationals’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 51%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Washington Nationals beat Minnesota Twins 7-5.
  • Top line: Keibert Ruiz (Washington Nationals) — 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 3 R.
  • Support line: Ryan Jeffers (Minnesota Twins) — 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 3 R.
  • Support line: Brooks Lee (Minnesota Twins) — 2-3, 2 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB.

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleBell doubled to left, Jeffers scored.7th Inning5–5
  2. ScoreRuiz homered to right (353 feet).7th Inning5–6
  3. 🏃 DoubleRuiz doubled to right, Young scored and Tena scored.5th Inning3–4
  4. ScoreGray reached on infield single to second, Lee scored, Gray to second.5th Inning3–2
  5. ScoreMead singled to right, Wood scored, Lile to second.7th Inning5–7
  6. ScoreMead hit into fielder's choice to right, Ruiz scored, Lile out at second, Wood to third.5th Inning3–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Minnesota Twins0200111005110
Washington Nationals00203020—780

Minnesota Twins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·1-5501000224.243.298.514
Trevor Larnach LF·1-5501000014.270.393.393
Austin Martin LF·1-5501000028.317.457.402
Ryan Jeffers C·3-4433111121.302.409.531
Matt Wallner RF·0-220000019.185.285.324
Josh Bell DH1-110110007.217.297.333
James Outman CF0-110000014.121.171.182
Luke Keaschall 2B·1-2211002011.234.310.314
Kody Clemens 1B·0-110000008.193.316.349
Victor Caratini C0-110000015.207.305.253
Brooks Lee SS·2-3312201116.270.326.434
Tristan Gray 3B·1-4401100121.258.299.419

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Simeon Woods Richardson SP·4.145522061-346.9261
Anthony Banda RP0.200010020-98.0420
John Klein SP1.122211131-227.7131
Taylor Rogers RP1.220002026-204.7026

Washington Nationals

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-2211002015.243.394.514
Daylen Lile LF·1-3301000116.245.323.367
Curtis Mead 1B·1-4401200017.220.319.439
CJ Abrams SS·0-4400000121.290.391.542
Brady House 3B·1-3301001019.238.299.397
Jose Tena DH·0-3310001113.284.342.463
Jacob Young CF·1-3321000014.234.275.323
Keibert Ruiz C·3-4433410116.214.233.400
Nasim Nunez 2B·0-110010017.215.315.243

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·5.084412192-635.2292
Richard Lovelady RP0.200021016-72.4016
Orlando Ribalta RP1.011101021-123.6021
PJ Poulin RP1.010012023-143.4423
Gus Varland RP1.110002016-123.0716

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningHouse walked.
  2. 6th InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
  3. 6th InningPitch 10 : Ball 3
  4. 5th InningAbrams flied out to shortstop.
  5. 7th InningBell doubled to left, Jeffers scored.5–5
  6. 6th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 5th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningBell doubled to left, Jeffers scored.5–5
  2. 7th InningRuiz homered to right (353 feet).5–6
  3. 5th InningRuiz doubled to right, Young scored and Tena scored.3–4
  4. 5th InningGray reached on infield single to second, Lee scored, Gray to second.3–2
  5. 7th InningMead singled to right, Wood scored, Lile to second.5–7
  6. 5th InningMead hit into fielder's choice to right, Ruiz scored, Lile out at second, Wood to third.3–5
  7. 2nd InningLee singled to left, Jeffers scored and Keaschall scored, Clemens to third.2–0
  8. 6th InningJeffers homered to left (432 feet).4–5
  9. 3rd InningNuñez hit sacrifice fly to center, Ruiz scored.2–2
  10. 3rd InningRuiz doubled to right, Young scored, Ruiz to third.2–1

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