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In The Rafters

MIN @ CLE

Joshua Silvia
15–22 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET55°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Connor Prielipp vs Parker MessickApple TV
Result readCleveland Guardians

Minnesota Twins 4 · Cleveland Guardians 6

Final
Minnesota Twins19-23-0.2 net/g (SOS-adj -0.4) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Cleveland Guardians23-21-1+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Cleveland Guardians because Cleveland Guardians owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Cleveland Guardians has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 60%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Cleveland Guardians

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27
Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Cleveland Guardians beat Minnesota Twins 6-4.
  • Top line: Parker Messick (Cleveland Guardians) — 5.2 IP, 7 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins) — 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Connor Prielipp (Minnesota Twins) — 5.0 IP, 6 K, 1 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScoreHedges reached on infield single to second, Bazzana scored, Rocchio to third.8th Inning3–6
  2. ScoreJeffers grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Buxton scored, Martin out at second.9th Inning4–6
  3. ScoreRamírez singled to left, Kwan scored.7th Inning3–5
  4. ScoreBuxton homered to left center (400 feet), Lewis scored.7th Inning3–4
  5. ScoreJeffers singled to right, Martin scored.6th Inning1–4
  6. ScoreBazzana homered to center (427 feet), Ramírez scored.1st Inning0–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Minnesota Twins0000012014131
Cleveland Guardians40000011—680

Minnesota Twins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·3-5523210124.255.307.542
Austin Martin LF·3-5513000015.333.464.425
Ryan Jeffers C·1-4401101227.300.408.520
Josh Bell DH·1-5501000326.216.293.328
Luke Keaschall 2B·1-3301001016.236.314.314
Brooks Lee SS·2-4402000010.278.331.437
Victor Caratini C·1-4401000314.209.303.253
Kody Clemens 1B0-000000000.193.316.349
Matt Wallner RF·0-4400000212.179.276.313
Royce Lewis 3B·1-441100008.173.269.309

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Connor Prielipp SP·5.044126193-613.3293
Kody Funderburk RP1.111100022-152.8722
Eric Orze RP0.210000016-104.6716
Anthony Banda RP0.221110022-118.2722
Yoendrys Gomez RP0.10000002-26.112

Cleveland Guardians

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·2-3322002025.221.321.286
Angel Martinez LF·0-4410000123.261.306.452
Jose Ramirez 3B·2-4412100016.219.345.397
Rhys Hoskins 1B·0-2200101117.195.339.368
David Fry RF·1-4401000120.240.367.440
Travis Bazzana 2B·1-4421210114.200.368.300
Brayan Rocchio SS·1-330100009.264.348.368
Austin Hedges C·1-4401100116.306.352.449
Petey Halpin CF·0-4400000115.118.167.118

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Parker Messick SP·5.271117095-602.3095
Matt Festa RP0.232202117-135.3017
Colin Holderman RP0.200011014-61.4214
Tim Herrin RP1.010000011-100.0011
Cade Smith RP1.021101015-133.4415

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningJeffers struck out looking.
  2. 8th InningFry singled to left.
  3. 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Looking
  4. 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  5. 7th InningHalpin grounded out to second.
  6. 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningHedges reached on infield single to second, Bazzana scored, Rocchio to third.3–6
  2. 9th InningJeffers grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Buxton scored, Martin out at second.4–6
  3. 7th InningRamírez singled to left, Kwan scored.3–5
  4. 7th InningBuxton homered to left center (400 feet), Lewis scored.3–4
  5. 6th InningJeffers singled to right, Martin scored.1–4
  6. 1st InningBazzana homered to center (427 feet), Ramírez scored.0–4
  7. 1st InningHoskins hit sacrifice fly to right, Martínez scored.0–2
  8. 1st InningKwan scored on error, Ramírez safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Keaschall, Martínez safe at third on error.0–1

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