SEA @ CHW
Rate Field · Chicago, Illinois
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT54°F · 9 mph wind · overcast⚾ Emerson Hancock vs Sean BurkeESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVMariners.TV
Model pickChicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners 4.3 · Chicago White Sox 4.2
50%confidence
Seattle Mariners18-20+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Chicago White Sox17-20-1-0.4 net/g (SOS-adj -0.6) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Chicago White Sox: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Chicago White Sox’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Three things to watch
- Pitching matchup. Emerson Hancock (Seattle Mariners) vs. Sean Burke (Chicago White Sox).
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
Injury Report
Chicago White Sox
Everson Pereira10-Day-ILAustin Hays10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-ILPrelander Berroa60-Day-IL
Seattle Mariners
Teddy McGrawDay-To-DayPatrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILMatt Brash15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAntonacci singled to center, Peters scored.5–2
- ScoreGrichuk homered to left (378 feet).12–8
- ScoreNaylor homered to center (403 feet), Donovan scored and Rodríguez scored.12–5
- ScoreRaley homered to right (372 feet), Arozarena scored and Crawford scored.9–5
- ScoreRaley homered to right center (372 feet), Naylor scored, Arozarena scored and Crawford scored.5–1
- ScoreKelenic singled to center, Vargas scored, Benintendi to second.12–6
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .295 | .421 | .492 |
| Leo Rivas 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .269 | .187 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .169 | .250 | .345 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .265 | .329 | .426 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .246 | .308 | .373 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .279 | .368 | .421 |
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | .210 | .376 | .352 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .258 | .314 | .567 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .260 | .333 | .468 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .130 | .196 | .261 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .272 | .346 | .397 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 94-55 | 3.21 | 94 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-9 | 1.53 | 13 |
| Alex Hoppe RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22-15 | 9.64 | 22 |
| Josh Simpson RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14-11 | 9.00 | 14 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Antonacci LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .277 | .385 | .415 |
| Randal Grichuk LF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .216 | .231 | .405 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | .237 | .370 | .578 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .218 | .360 | .421 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .226 | .333 | .482 |
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .277 | .351 | .380 |
| Luisangel Acuna CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .175 | .239 | .188 |
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .235 | .272 | .365 |
| Jarred Kelenic RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .278 | .381 | .278 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .265 | .330 | .313 |
| Drew Romo C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .150 | .414 | .600 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke SP· | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 74-52 | 3.68 | 74 |
| Sean Newcomb RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23-14 | 3.32 | 23 |
| Tyler Davis RP | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23-14 | 5.68 | 23 |
| Trevor Richards RP | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22-16 | 6.75 | 22 |
| Seranthony Dominguez RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-10 | 3.68 | 14 |
Live Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningMurakami grounded out to second.
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningCrawford walked.
- 2nd InningMeidroth struck out swinging.