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Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM ET58°F · 11 mph wind · mostly clearProbables: Joe Ryan vs Tanner BibeeMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVTwins.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins 2 · Cleveland Guardians 1

Final
Minnesota Twins19-23-0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.4) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Cleveland Guardians24-21-1+0.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 60%
Home VenueProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Two reasons the projection lands on Minnesota Twins: Cleveland Guardians’s scoring margin profile and Cleveland Guardians’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 62%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 1.

Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-ILGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Minnesota Twins beat Cleveland Guardians 2-1.
  • Top line: Tanner Bibee (Cleveland Guardians) — 6.0 IP, 9 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Joe Ryan (Minnesota Twins) — 6.0 IP, 5 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins) — 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. DoubleBuxton doubled to center, Wallner scored.11th Inning2–1
  2. ScoreManzardo singled to right, Ramírez scored.4th Inning1–1
  3. ScoreBuxton homered to left (378 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team1234567891011RHE
Minnesota Twins10000000001220
Cleveland Guardians00010000000121

Minnesota Twins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron BuxtonValue card CF·2-5512210222.259.310.563
Brooks LeeValue card SS·0-5500000125.267.319.420
Trevor LarnachValue card LF·0-2200000116.264.391.385
Austin MartinValue card LF0-220000018.326.455.416
Josh BellValue card DH·0-4400000416.210.286.319
James OutmanValue card CF0-000000000.121.171.182
Luke KeaschallValue card 2B·0-2200002017.232.319.310
Kody ClemensValue card 1B·0-4400000317.184.304.333
Victor CaratiniValue card C·0-4400000115.200.292.242
Matt WallnerValue card RF·0-4410000422.172.267.302
Royce LewisValue card 3B·0-3300001020.167.268.298

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joe RyanValue card SP·6.0211350107-663.43107
Andrew MorrisValue card RP0.200011011-74.9611
Taylor RogersValue card RP1.000001017-114.4117
Yoendrys GomezValue card RP0.10000005-36.005
Kody FunderburkValue card RP0.100020010-22.8110
Eric OrzeValue card RP1.200030015-84.2615
Luis GarciaValue card RP1.000000013-910.6413

Cleveland Guardians

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven KwanValue card CF·0-5500000022.214.311.276
Petey HalpinValue card CF0-000000000.118.167.118
Chase DeLauterValue card RF·0-5500000117.295.378.527
Jose RamirezValue card 3B·1-3311002119.221.352.396
Kyle ManzardoValue card 1B·1-3301100112.204.275.287
Rhys HoskinsValue card 1B0-110000109.193.342.364
Daniel SchneemannValue card CF·0-3300002122.275.357.471
Travis BazzanaValue card 2B·0-3300001022.182.372.273
Angel MartinezValue card LF·0-4400000214.252.297.437
Austin HedgesValue card C·0-2200001113.294.351.431
David FryValue card RF0-110000108.235.371.431
Brayan RocchioValue card SS·0-4400001020.256.342.357

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tanner BibeeValue card SP·6.011129198-604.1798
Hunter GaddisValue card RP1.000001013-87.8813
Colin HoldermanValue card RP1.000002016-111.3216
Erik SabrowskiValue card RP1.000002014-102.0814
Peyton PalletteValue card RP2.011013037-234.3237

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 11th InningFry flied out to left.
  2. 9th InningLee struck out looking.
  3. 11th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Looking
  5. 5th InningRocchio walked.
  6. 11th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 11th InningBuxton doubled to center, Wallner scored.2–1
  2. 4th InningManzardo singled to right, Ramírez scored.1–1
  3. 1st InningBuxton homered to left (378 feet).1–0

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