Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:40 PM ET54°F · 5 mph wind · overcast⚾ Taj Bradley vs Gavin WilliamsMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVTwins.TV
Model pickCleveland Guardians

Minnesota Twins 4.0 · Cleveland Guardians 4.9

68%confidence
Minnesota Twins16-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.6) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Cleveland Guardians20-19-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Cleveland Guardians on the back of Cleveland Guardians’s margin work and Cleveland Guardians’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Three things to watch

  • Pitching matchup. Taj Bradley (Minnesota Twins) vs. Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians).

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

Andrew Walters15-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILGabriel Arias10-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day

Minnesota Twins

Cody Laweryson15-Day-ILCory LewisDay-To-DayJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Recent Form

Cleveland Guardians

  • L@ KC6-2
  • L@ KC5-3
  • W@ KC3-1
  • W@ KC8-5
  • Wvs MIN6-4

Minnesota Twins

  • Wvs TOR4-3
  • W@ WSH11-3
  • L@ WSH15-2
  • L@ WSH7-5
  • L@ CLE6-4

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