NYY @ BAL
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
New York Yankees 5.8 · Baltimore Orioles 3.4
New York Yankees is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, New York Yankees on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. New York Yankees is 70% over their recent sample; Baltimore Orioles is 30%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. New York Yankees projects 69% from points-for vs points-allowed; Baltimore Orioles sits at 41%.
- Pitching matchup. Max Fried (New York Yankees) vs. Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles).
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Baltimore Orioles
- Chris Bassitt SP · #40
- Kyle Bradish SP · #38
- Gunnar Henderson SS · #2
- Pete Alonso 1B · #25
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.
Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles
- L@ NYY12-1
- W@ MIA9-7
- W@ MIA7-4
- L@ MIA4-3
- Lvs ATH4-3
New York Yankees
- Wvs BAL12-1
- Wvs TEX7-4
- Lvs TEX6-1
- Wvs TEX9-2
- L@ MIL6-0