Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT65°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Roki Sasaki vs Jack KochanowiczMLB.TVAngels.TV
Model pickLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 5.6 · Los Angeles Angels 3.3

68%confidence
Los Angeles Dodgers24-14+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Angels15-24-0.4 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Dodgers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with Los Angeles Dodgers’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Three things to watch

  • Form gap. Los Angeles Dodgers is 50% over their recent sample; Los Angeles Angels is 30%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
  • Net efficiency. Los Angeles Dodgers projects 72% from points-for vs points-allowed; Los Angeles Angels sits at 46%.
  • Pitching matchup. Roki Sasaki (Los Angeles Dodgers) vs. Jack Kochanowicz (Los Angeles Angels).

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Angels

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

Ben Joyce15-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-ILRyan Johnson15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

Blake Snell15-Day-ILMookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Recent Form

Los Angeles Angels

  • Lvs NYM5-1
  • Lvs CHW6-0
  • Wvs CHW4-3
  • Wvs CHW8-2
  • L@ TOR2-0

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • W@ STL4-1
  • W@ HOU8-3
  • L@ HOU2-1
  • W@ HOU12-2
  • Wvs ATL3-1

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