SD @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Walker Buehler5.0 IP, 6 K, 2 ER
- Nick Castellanos1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R
- Rodolfo Duran1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R
Key Plays
- Late score7-3Arozarena reached on infield single to second, Rodríguez scored, Naylor to third.8th Inning
- Late run7-4Young grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Naylor scored, Arozarena out at second.8th Inning
- Go-ahead run1-0Sheets homered to right center (382 feet).2nd Inning
- Late score7-2Durán homered to left center (386 feet), Laureano scored.7th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Home run, RBI, three-plus RBI.
Home run, RBI.
Home run, RBI, walk volume.
Home run, RBI.
Starter innings, six-plus strikeouts.
Starter innings, six-plus innings.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: San Diego Padres beat Seattle Mariners 7-4.
- Top line: Walker Buehler (San Diego Padres) — 5.0 IP, 6 K, 2 ER.
- Support line: Nick Castellanos (San Diego Padres) — 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R.
- Support line: Rodolfo Duran (San Diego Padres) — 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreAndujar grounded into fielder's choice to third, Machado scored, Bogaerts to second, Sheets out at third.2–0
- ScoreArozarena reached on infield single to second, Rodríguez scored, Naylor to third.7–3
- ScoreYoung grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Naylor scored, Arozarena out at second.7–4
- ScoreCrawford homered to right center (378 feet).5–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
San Diego Padres player box 16 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
San Diego Padres
· Starter
Batting#
- Jackson Merrill 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Fernando Tatis Jr. 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Manny Machado 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Gavin Sheets 1H1R1RBI1HR
- Xander Bogaerts 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Miguel Andujar 1H1R1RBI0HR
- Nick Castellanos 1H1R3RBI1HR
- Sung-Mun Song 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Ramon Laureano 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Rodolfo Duran 1H1R2RBI1HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson MerrillValue card CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .205 | .275 | .325 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr.Value card RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .233 | .310 | .276 |
| Manny MachadoValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .182 | .279 | .325 |
| Gavin SheetsValue card 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .244 | .316 | .488 |
| Xander BogaertsValue card SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .263 | .333 | .413 |
| Miguel AndujarValue card DH· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .295 | .317 | .484 |
| Nick CastellanosValue card RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .205 | .237 | .364 |
| Sung-Mun SongValue card 2B | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .222 | .333 | .278 |
| Ramon LaureanoValue card LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .223 | .299 | .385 |
| Rodolfo DuranValue card C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .083 | .083 | .333 |
Pitching#
- Walker Buehler 5H2R1HR2BB
- Wandy Peralta 0H0R0HR0BB
- Jason Adam 0H0R0HR0BB
- Alek Jacob 2H2R0HR1BB
- Adrian Morejon 0H0R0HR0BB
- Jeremiah Estrada 1H0R0HR1BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker BuehlerValue card SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 101-63 | 5.01 | 101 |
| Wandy PeraltaValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-7 | 2.53 | 10 |
| Jason AdamValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-7 | 1.23 | 10 |
| Alek JacobValue card RP | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11-5 | 9.00 | 11 |
| Adrian MorejonValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-10 | 5.09 | 13 |
| Jeremiah EstradaValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-9 | 3.29 | 17 |
Seattle Mariners player box 14 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Seattle Mariners
· Starter
Batting#
- J.P. Crawford 2H1R1RBI1HR
- Julio Rodriguez 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Josh Naylor 2H2R0RBI0HR
- Randy Arozarena 1H0R1RBI0HR
- Luke Raley 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Cole Young 1H0R2RBI0HR
- Dominic Canzone 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Rob Refsnyder 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Jhonny Pereda 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Leo Rivas 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Connor Joe 0H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. CrawfordValue card SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .217 | .361 | .377 |
| Julio RodriguezValue card CF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | .255 | .320 | .415 |
| Josh NaylorValue card 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .253 | .318 | .368 |
| Randy ArozarenaValue card LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .306 | .394 | .453 |
| Luke RaleyValue card RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .265 | .333 | .573 |
| Cole YoungValue card 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .255 | .330 | .370 |
| Dominic CanzoneValue card DH· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .253 | .324 | .453 |
| Rob RefsnyderValue card RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .125 | .203 | .232 |
| Jhonny PeredaValue card C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .167 | .167 | .167 |
| Leo RivasValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .133 | .259 | .173 |
| Connor JoeValue card RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .214 | .333 | .393 |
Pitching#
- Logan Gilbert 5H7R3HR2BB
- Nick Davila 0H0R0HR2BB
- Domingo Gonzalez 2H0R0HR0BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan GilbertValue card SP· | 6.2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 97-65 | 4.45 | 97 |
| Nick DavilaValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19-8 | 0.00 | 19 |
| Domingo GonzalezValue card SP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-9 | 0.00 | 14 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Run-scoring play · 4th InningAndujar grounded into fielder's choice to third, Machado scored, Bogaerts to second, Sheets out at third.2–0
- Late score · 8th InningArozarena reached on infield single to second, Rodríguez scored, Naylor to third.7–3
- Late run · 8th InningYoung grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Naylor scored, Arozarena out at second.7–4
- Run-scoring play · 5th InningCrawford homered to right center (378 feet).5–2
- Go-ahead run · 2nd InningSheets homered to right center (382 feet).1–0
- Double · 7th InningLaureano doubled to right.5–2
- Run-scoring play · 4th InningYoung singled to right, Naylor scored, Raley to second.5–1
- Late score · 7th InningDurán homered to left center (386 feet), Laureano scored.7–2
- Run-scoring play · 4th InningCastellanos homered to center (401 feet), Bogaerts scored and Andujar scored.5–0
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:15 PM PTProbables: Walker Buehler vs Logan GilbertMLB.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres 7 · Seattle Mariners 4
Final
San Diego Padres29-19+0.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.0) · expected win rate 52% · last 10: 70%
Seattle Mariners23-27+0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.2) · expected win rate 52% · last 10: 40%
Home VenueT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
San Diego Padres is the lean because of Seattle Mariners on the margin numbers and San Diego Padres on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 58%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 3.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 58%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 3.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
San Diego Padres
50%
Seattle Mariners win probability 50%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Seattle Mariners: Home venue+1.0
- San Diego Padres: Team baseline-0.6
- San Diego Padres: Starter context-0.5
Model check
Live model: San Diego Padres
50%
v3 candidate: Seattle Mariners
52%
Different pick; home probability +2.6 pp, confidence +2.3 pp
- San Diego Padres: home win pct minus away -0.07
- Seattle Mariners: away rest hours capped +0.07
- San Diego Padres: away win pct -0.06
Copies the current sliders and toggles into this matchup link.
Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Matt Brash15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayVictor Robles10-Day-ILGabe Speier15-Day-ILCarlos Vargas60-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilBlake HuntDay-To-DayMatt Waldron15-Day-ILJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.