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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Late score7-3Henderson singled to center, Jackson scored.9th Inning
  • Double6-3Jackson doubled to right.9th Inning
  • Late run6-3Abrams reached on infield single to third, Wood scored, House to second.7th Inning
  • Go-ahead run1-0Henderson homered to right (397 feet).1st Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Gunnar Henderson 100
Baltimore Orioles · Batting 4-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI, three-hit game.

Signal 100/100Value #1797
Coby Mayo 80
Baltimore Orioles · Batting 1-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 80/100Value #3935
Colton Cowser 80
Baltimore Orioles · Batting 1-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 80/100Value #4425
Jacob Young 70
Washington Nationals · Batting 1-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #3514
Keibert Ruiz 18
Washington Nationals · Batting 1-2 · 1 RBI · 1 BB

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #3803
CJ Abrams 18
Washington Nationals · Batting 1-5 · 1 RBI

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #1315
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Baltimore Orioles beat Washington Nationals 7-3.
  • Top line: Gunnar Henderson (Baltimore Orioles) — 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Coby Mayo (Baltimore Orioles) — 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Colton Cowser (Baltimore Orioles) — 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreMayo homered to left (407 feet), Basallo scored.2nd Inning3–0
  2. ScoreRuiz hit sacrifice fly to center, Lile scored.4th Inning6–2
  3. ScoreAlonso hit sacrifice fly to right, Ward scored.3rd Inning4–1
  4. ScoreYoung homered to left (390 feet).2nd Inning3–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles1212000017110
Washington Nationals010100100391
Baltimore Orioles player box 15 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Baltimore Orioles

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor WardValue card LF·0-4410001324.262.419.366
Gunnar HendersonValue card SS·4-5514210017.214.269.423
Pete AlonsoValue card 1B·0-4400100229.215.300.412
Tyler O'NeillValue card RF·1-4401000114.178.310.274
Samuel BasalloValue card C·1-4411000015.277.338.485
Leody TaverasValue card CF·1-3311000020.259.365.389
Coby MayoValue card 3B·1-4411210124.185.258.345
Blaze AlexanderValue card 3B0-000000000.242.296.286
Colton CowserValue card CF·1-4411210215.173.269.235
Jeremiah JacksonValue card 2B·2-441200008.248.265.411

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon YoungValue card SP·3.252233170-414.2570
Anthony NunezValue card RP1.100003017-113.8017
Tyler WellsValue card RP2.031102038-283.3838
Yennier CanoValue card RP1.000011017-101.0617
Rico GarciaValue card RP1.010002018-110.4518
Washington Nationals player box 15 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Washington Nationals

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James WoodValue card RF·2-4412001222.242.389.511
Luis Garcia Jr.Value card 1B·2-5502000118.273.301.432
Brady HouseValue card 3B·1-5501000222.225.277.400
CJ AbramsValue card SS·1-5501100114.298.388.530
Daylen LileValue card LF·1-4411000217.272.330.451
Jacob YoungValue card CF·1-2211111018.224.275.353
Jorbit VivasValue card 3B0-110000001.241.333.289
Joey WiemerValue card RF0-000000000.279.372.500
Jose TenaValue card DH·0-3300001117.253.319.422
Keibert RuizValue card C·1-2201101117.236.255.483
Nasim NunezValue card 2B·0-4400000114.191.305.214

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Richard LoveladyValue card RP·1.122201127-192.7527
Miles MikolasValue card SP5.264414293-616.9193
Brad LordValue card RP1.010002027-193.1027
Paxton SchultzValue card RP1.021102019-102.5519

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Run-scoring play · 2nd InningMayo homered to left (407 feet), Basallo scored.3–0
  2. Run-scoring play · 2nd InningYoung homered to left (390 feet).3–1
  3. Late score · 9th InningHenderson singled to center, Jackson scored.7–3
  4. Double · 9th InningJackson doubled to right.6–3
  5. Late run · 7th InningAbrams reached on infield single to third, Wood scored, House to second.6–3
  6. Go-ahead run · 1st InningHenderson homered to right (397 feet).1–0
  7. Double · 2nd InningRuiz doubled to right.3–1
  8. Double · 9th InningGarcía Jr. doubled to right.7–3
  9. Double · 5th InningHenderson doubled to center.6–2
  10. Double · 4th InningTaveras doubled to left.4–1

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET86°F · 5 mph wind · clearProbables: Brandon Young vs Richard LoveladyMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles 7 · Washington Nationals 3

Final
Baltimore Orioles21-29-1-1.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.1) · expected win rate 39% · last 10: 40%
Washington Nationals25-25-0.3 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.0) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 60%
Home VenueNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Baltimore Orioles gets the nod thanks to Washington Nationals’s margin advantage, with Washington Nationals’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 65%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 4.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Washington Nationals
61% Washington Nationals win probability 61%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Washington Nationals: Team baseline+13.4
    • Baltimore Orioles: Bullpen rest-1.2
    • Washington Nationals: Home venue+1.0
    Model check
    Live model: Washington Nationals 61%
    v3 candidate: Baltimore Orioles 67%
    Different pick; home probability -27.3 pp, confidence +5.8 pp
    • Baltimore Orioles: day start profile -1.31
    • Baltimore Orioles: scoring-margin gap -0.19
    • Washington Nationals: v2 shadow probability +0.18
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    Key Players to Watch

    Washington Nationals

    Injury Report

    Washington Nationals

    Clayton Beeter15-Day-ILCole Henry15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

    Baltimore Orioles

    Grant Wolfram15-Day-ILHeston Kjerstad60-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-DayWill RobertsonDay-To-DayLevi WellsDay-To-Day
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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