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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Afternoon GameOutdoor4:05 PM ET
Model pickPhiladelphia Phillies

Chicago White Sox 4.4 · Philadelphia Phillies 4.3

52%confidence
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Philadelphia Phillies20-22-1-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.6) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Philadelphia Phillies gets the model’s nod thanks to Chicago White Sox’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

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