LAD @ PIT
PNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.4 · Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6
Pick goes to Pittsburgh Pirates on the back of Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin work and Pittsburgh Pirates’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Pittsburgh Pirates is 70% over their recent sample; Los Angeles Dodgers is 40%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Los Angeles Dodgers projects 66% from points-for vs points-allowed; Pittsburgh Pirates sits at 58%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.