PIT @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Pittsburgh Pirates 5.1 · Philadelphia Phillies 3.9
Pittsburgh Pirates is the model’s call — Pittsburgh Pirates on the margin numbers, Philadelphia Phillies on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Net efficiency. Pittsburgh Pirates projects 57% from points-for vs points-allowed; Philadelphia Phillies sits at 42%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.