Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET
Model pickNew York Yankees

New York Mets 3.0 · New York Yankees 5.4

68%confidence
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to New York Yankees on the back of New York Yankees’s margin work and New York Yankees’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Three things to watch

  • Net efficiency. New York Yankees projects 68% from points-for vs points-allowed; New York Mets sits at 41%.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

New York Yankees

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Trending