TB @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 · New York Yankees 4.9
New York Yankees gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with Tampa Bay Rays’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Tampa Bay Rays is 85% over their recent sample; New York Yankees is 60%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. New York Yankees projects 68% from points-for vs points-allowed; Tampa Bay Rays sits at 56%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.