TB @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 · New York Yankees 4.9
Pick goes to New York Yankees on the back of New York Yankees’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Tampa Bay Rays is 85% over their recent sample; New York Yankees is 60%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. New York Yankees projects 68% from points-for vs points-allowed; Tampa Bay Rays sits at 56%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.