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InTheRafters.com

VGK @ UTA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor8:20 PM MT🥅 Carter Hart vs Karel VejmelkaScripps Sports
Result readVegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights 5 · Utah Mammoth 1

Final
Vegas Golden Knights44-46+0.2 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 70%
Utah Mammoth45-43+0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeDelta CenterHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Vegas Golden Knights gets the model’s nod thanks to Utah Mammoth’s margin advantage, with Vegas Golden Knights’s recent run providing the second tip. Shot quality, special teams, and goaltending variance keep the ceiling capped.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 67%. Actual: Vegas Golden Knights by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Vegas Golden Knights

Utah Mammoth

Roster watch list pending.

Game Leaders

Vegas Golden KnightsMitch Marner2
Utah MammothKailer Yamamoto1

Injury Report

Utah Mammoth

Barrett HaytonOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Vegas Golden Knights
IB Ivan Barbashev LW · #49 JE Jack Eichel C · #9 MM Mitch Marner RW · #93 ST Shea Theodore LD · #27 NH Noah Hanifin RD · #15 AS Akira Schmid G · #40
Utah Mammoth

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalCole Smith Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: none3rd · 16:245–1
  2. 🥅 GoalMitch Marner Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Shea Theodore (2), Jack Eichel (8)3rd · 12:094–1
  3. 🥅 GoalColton Sissons Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Brayden McNabb (2), Kaedan Korczak (1)3rd · 9:393–1
  4. 🥅 GoalKailer Yamamoto Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Mikhail Sergachev (5), MacKenzie Weegar (3)3rd · 7:412–1
  5. 🥅 GoalMitch Marner Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Ivan Barbashev (4), Noah Hanifin (5)2nd · 19:152–0
  6. 🥅 GoalBrett Howden Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Mitch Marner (5), Mark Stone (3)1st · 15:021–0

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Vegas Golden Knights1135
Utah Mammoth0011

Team Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stat Utah Mammoth
1PPG0
6PIM4
44FO Won28
32Hits38
4Takeaways3

Vegas Golden Knights

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Ivan Barbashev LW120017:040:570:0116:062102121010100.0012
Pavel Dorofeyev RW001017:131:210:0015:5222040110000.0000
Nic Dowd C220115:110:002:2812:432502020010662.5000
Jack Eichel C000-117:131:220:4815:032401103011857.9200
Tomas Hertl C100010:230:530:009:30140002107370.0000
Brett Howden C110114:180:541:1112:13211402106460.0000
Keegan Kolesar RW250010:050:002:277:3814000000000.0200
Mitch Marner RW100317:191:181:2514:36242217104544.4000
Colton Sissons C050215:540:001:3614:18231201105183.3000
Reilly Smith RW00009:260:000:009:2614000100000.0100
Cole Smith RW060215:560:001:3814:1823120110010.0100
Mark Stone RW011115:141:190:2513:3022021100000.0012
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Rasmus Andersson D300120:550:561:1318:4634000110000.0112
Noah Hanifin D011123:361:032:0520:2834001000000.0100
Kaedan Korczak D040111:420:000:3911:0317001110000.0100
Jeremy Lauzon D030013:420:002:3511:0717000000000.0100
Brayden McNabb D221224:470:004:0820:3937001320000.0100
Shea Theodore D400124:301:121:2121:5732021110000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Carter Hart G1230022.957184059:3200

Utah Mammoth

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Michael Carcone LW160-117:011:100:0015:512102014010100.0100
Logan Cooley C021017:194:480:3811:532202011091439.1212
Lawson Crouse LW130-118:001:031:5615:0124030000000.0100
Dylan Guenther RW040017:114:480:0012:2321030110000.0100
Clayton Keller RW221-220:404:520:0015:4825010720010.0400
Alexander Kerfoot C021-115:011:080:0013:532300010031318.8012
Jack McBain C020-19:420:000:009:4216000110000.0000
JJ Peterka RW000015:361:120:0014:2421000040000.0100
Nick Schmaltz C040-220:374:500:2115:26260100007943.8000
Kevin Stenlund C200-214:420:001:3513:07230102108753.3100
Brandon Tanev LW130-29:240:000:009:2415000110000.0100
Kailer Yamamoto RW01019:420:000:009:4218110200000.0000
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Ian Cole D100-217:510:001:1616:3526010210000.0100
Sean Durzi D200-115:420:000:0015:4226000120000.0100
John Marino D210019:430:090:5918:3528010010000.0000
Nate Schmidt D000018:330:091:1817:0627000120000.0100
Mikhail Sergachev D220-122:284:540:5716:3728001210000.0400
MacKenzie Weegar D160-119:120:570:0018:1526021010000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Karel Vejmelka G4250021.840201059:2100

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:41JJ Peterka Snap Shot Wide Left
  4. 3rd · 19:20Kaedan Korczak hit JJ Peterka
  5. 3rd · 19:02Colton Sissons faceoff won against Alexander Kerfoot
  6. 3rd · 19:02Goalie Stopped
  7. 3rd · 19:00Mikhail Sergachev Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
  8. 3rd · 18:47Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
  9. 3rd · 18:42Logan Cooley Snap Shot Wide Right
  10. 3rd · 18:20Dylan Guenther Snap Shot saved by Carter Hart
  11. 3rd · 18:09Takeaway by Logan Cooley
  12. 3rd · 17:50Brett Howden faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 16:24Cole Smith Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: none5–1
  2. 3rd · 12:09Mitch Marner Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Shea Theodore (2), Jack Eichel (8)4–1
  3. 3rd · 9:39Colton Sissons Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Brayden McNabb (2), Kaedan Korczak (1)3–1
  4. 3rd · 7:41Kailer Yamamoto Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Mikhail Sergachev (5), MacKenzie Weegar (3)2–1
  5. 2nd · 19:15Mitch Marner Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Ivan Barbashev (4), Noah Hanifin (5)2–0
  6. 1st · 15:02Brett Howden Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Mitch Marner (5), Mark Stone (3)1–0

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