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InTheRafters.com

PHI @ CAR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor8:00 PM ET🥅 Dan Vladar vs Frederik Andersen
Result readCarolina Hurricanes

Philadelphia Flyers 0 · Carolina Hurricanes 3

Final
Philadelphia Flyers47-44+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Carolina Hurricanes60-29+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.8) · expected win rate 62% · last 10: 90%
Venue EdgeLenovo CenterHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Carolina Hurricanes gets the model’s nod thanks to Carolina Hurricanes’s margin advantage, with Carolina Hurricanes’s recent run providing the second tip. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 79%. Actual: Carolina Hurricanes by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Philadelphia Flyers

Carolina Hurricanes

Game Leaders

Philadelphia FlyersDenver Barkey0
Carolina HurricanesLogan Stankoven2

Injury Report

Philadelphia Flyers

Rodrigo AbolsInjured ReserveNikita GrebenkinOutOwen TippettOutNoah CatesOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Philadelphia Flyers
NC Noah Cates LW · #27 TZ Trevor Zegras C · #46 TK Travis Konecny RW · #11 TS Travis Sanheim LD · #6 JD Jamie Drysdale RD · #9 DV Dan Vladar G · #80
Carolina Hurricanes
NE Nikolaj Ehlers LW · #27 SA Sebastian Aho C · #20 AS A. Svechnikov RW · #37 AN A. Nikishin LD · #21 SW Sean Walker RD · #26 BB Brandon Bussi G · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalLogan Stankoven Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (3), Andrei Svechnikov (1)2nd · 16:160–3
  2. 🥅 GoalJackson Blake Goal (2) Backhand, assists: Taylor Hall (6), Mike Reilly (2)1st · 7:300–2
  3. 🥅 GoalLogan Stankoven Goal (5) Tip-In, assists: Mike Reilly (1), Jackson Blake (4)1st · 1:310–1

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Philadelphia Flyers0000
Carolina Hurricanes2103

Team Stats

Philadelphia Flyers Stat Carolina Hurricanes
0PPG0
34PIM34
35FO Won28
49Hits30
6Takeaways4

Philadelphia Flyers

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Denver Barkey C020-115:133:500:0011:23210101201325.0000
Alex Bump LW010-112:431:140:0011:2916010110010.0000
Noah Cates LW061-215:514:002:189:332301010081240.0000
Sean Couturier C032015:420:545:269:22230005008372.7000
Christian Dvorak C000018:373:341:5013:13240000105362.5000
Tyson Foerster RW131-216:294:020:4911:3821000100000.0112
Luke Glendening C130013:370:005:158:22180100007370.0000
Garnet Hathaway RW13009:310:000:199:1217010200000.0012
Travis Konecny RW161019:484:170:0315:2823010220000.0112
Porter Martone RW060016:034:020:0012:0119020000000.0312
Matvei Michkov RW100-312:083:000:009:0819000000000.0300
Trevor Zegras C030016:313:510:0012:40170100006366.71314
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Jamie Drysdale D201021:134:190:0116:5326010010000.0000
Noah Juulsen D030-110:420:000:1810:2416000000000.0100
Rasmus Ristolainen D230-223:573:412:3017:4626010320000.0200
Travis Sanheim D240-223:291:166:0316:1027020210000.0100
Nick Seeler D220-113:150:001:5711:1818010000000.01212
Cam York D110019:590:005:1114:4825010110000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Dan Vladar G3230020.870125355:1200

Carolina Hurricanes

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Sebastian Aho C101019:595:592:4811:12230301007943.8100
Jackson Blake RW030214:361:550:0212:3917121210000.00212
William Carrier LW14008:510:060:008:4516000010000.0000
Nikolaj Ehlers LW100018:176:020:0012:1522000310000.0300
Taylor Hall LW020211:431:550:009:4818021000000.0024
Mark Jankowski LW131011:560:132:199:241900020061135.3000
Seth Jarvis C000119:245:592:4710:3823001220000.0000
Jordan Martinook LW200013:480:062:4410:5822010000010.0212
Eric Robinson LW030010:460:001:219:2516000110010.0000
Jordan Staal C070017:191:433:5511:41280000108947.1200
Logan Stankoven C000313:171:550:0311:19172605207463.6000
Andrei Svechnikov RW020117:525:420:0012:1022001100000.0212
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Jalen Chatfield D010020:300:005:1115:1925000200000.0000
Shayne Gostisbehere D100317:585:590:0211:5719000320000.01110
K'Andre Miller D221020:562:012:5016:0525000000000.0000
Mike Reilly D000311:280:000:0111:2718002000000.0112
Jaccob Slavin D401021:440:004:4716:5727000000000.0100
Sean Walker D430019:360:253:1016:0125000110000.0200
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Frederik Andersen G01900191.000132460:0002

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:33Travis Konecny hit Sean Walker
  4. 3rd · 19:30Giveaway by Frederik Andersen
  5. 3rd · 19:05William Carrier hit Travis Sanheim
  6. 3rd · 18:58Travis Sanheim shot blocked by William Carrier
  7. 3rd · 18:49Garnet Hathaway Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
  8. 3rd · 18:46Alex Bump Tip-In saved by Frederik Andersen
  9. 3rd · 18:44Christian Dvorak Snap Shot Wide Right
  10. 3rd · 18:43Garnet Hathaway hit Jalen Chatfield
  11. 3rd · 18:28Eric Robinson shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
  12. 3rd · 18:18Travis Konecny Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd · 16:16Logan Stankoven Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (3), Andrei Svechnikov (1)0–3
  2. 1st · 7:30Jackson Blake Goal (2) Backhand, assists: Taylor Hall (6), Mike Reilly (2)0–2
  3. 1st · 1:31Logan Stankoven Goal (5) Tip-In, assists: Mike Reilly (1), Jackson Blake (4)0–1

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