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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:00 PM ET🥅 Dan Vladar vs Frederik Andersen
Result readCarolina Hurricanes

Philadelphia Flyers 2 · Carolina Hurricanes 3

Final
Philadelphia Flyers47-44+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Carolina Hurricanes60-29+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.8) · expected win rate 62% · last 10: 90%
Venue EdgeLenovo CenterHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Carolina Hurricanes is the model’s call — Carolina Hurricanes on the margin numbers, Carolina Hurricanes on the form numbers. One power-play goal each side moves this projection by roughly half a goal.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 81%. Actual: Carolina Hurricanes by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Game Leaders

Philadelphia FlyersSean Couturier1
Carolina HurricanesNikolaj Ehlers1

Injury Report

Philadelphia Flyers

Rodrigo AbolsInjured ReserveNikita GrebenkinOutOwen TippettOutNoah CatesOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalTaylor Hall Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (6), Sean Walker (2)1st OT · 18:542–3
  2. 🥅 GoalSeth Jarvis Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Nikolaj Ehlers (2), Jordan Staal (2)3rd · 11:212–2
  3. 🥅 GoalNikolaj Ehlers Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (5), K'Andre Miller (4)1st · 10:212–1
  4. 🥅 GoalSean Couturier Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Carl Grundstrom (1)1st · 4:412–0
  5. 🥅 GoalJamie Drysdale Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: none1st · 4:021–0

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3OTT
Philadelphia Flyers20002
Carolina Hurricanes10113

Team Stats

Philadelphia Flyers Stat Carolina Hurricanes
1PPG1
14PIM16
29FO Won44
43Hits42
4Takeaways5

Philadelphia Flyers

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Denver Barkey C030-217:153:570:0013:18250102003350.0012
Alex Bump LW111-214:010:250:0713:2921010010000.0100
Noah Cates LW231020:535:404:2010:533301010051327.8000
Sean Couturier C051124:512:057:2015:263711051011857.9200
Christian Dvorak C040022:044:171:2316:24340004006940.0100
Tyson Foerster RW020023:537:343:2912:5034000100000.0000
Luke Glendening C110116:270:036:2210:02280101204833.3000
Carl Grundstrom RW060113:450:290:1513:0123001200000.0012
Travis Konecny RW050023:588:050:0015:5330010100000.0200
Porter Martone RW020-217:374:160:0413:1724020110020.0100
Matvei Michkov RW020015:103:410:0011:2924000410000.0000
Trevor Zegras C010023:367:540:0015:4229010400010.0200
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Emil Andrae D020012:400:000:0012:4020000000000.0112
Jamie Drysdale D100-129:127:470:0021:2538120420000.0300
Rasmus Ristolainen D110128:164:263:4120:0942010200000.0112
Travis Sanheim D511031:190:498:3321:5741020210000.0100
Nick Seeler D230017:540:004:3813:1627010000000.0200
Cam York D210-227:430:176:2820:5841010210000.0212
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Dan Vladar G3420039.929277578:5402

Carolina Hurricanes

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Sebastian Aho C000025:186:203:3015:283003012010662.5000
Jackson Blake RW000122:405:200:1117:0928022420000.0200
William Carrier LW1120-112:170:000:0012:1719000100000.0100
Nikolaj Ehlers LW030121:358:490:0012:4627111110000.0200
Taylor Hall LW210121:045:200:0015:442613030010100.0112
Mark Jankowski LW010-112:540:322:449:38210000106460.0112
Seth Jarvis C111123:476:174:1313:1732110440000.0200
Jordan Martinook LW031019:080:005:3113:3728010310000.0000
Eric Robinson LW070-111:590:002:519:0820000610010.0000
Jordan Staal C120121:122:135:2913:3034001020171258.6100
Logan Stankoven C010121:405:180:0916:132606043010662.5012
Andrei Svechnikov RW031020:516:200:0014:3125000120000.0436
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Jalen Chatfield D100029:070:077:1421:4635000000000.0100
Shayne Gostisbehere D020-122:456:290:0116:1526000220000.0100
K'Andre Miller D020228:395:114:4618:4236001200000.0000
Mike Reilly D010-114:210:000:0114:2019000200000.0100
Jaccob Slavin D102027:140:007:1819:5635000400000.0000
Sean Walker D130223:270:045:2617:5729001400000.0212
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Frederik Andersen G2360034.944292378:4900

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st OT · 18:54Game End
  2. 1st OT · 18:54End of OT
  3. 1st OT · 18:54Taylor Hall Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (6), Sean Walker (2)2–3
  4. 1st OT · 18:53Jackson Blake Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
  5. 1st OT · 18:52Taylor Hall Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
  6. 1st OT · 18:42Porter Martone hit K'Andre Miller
  7. 1st OT · 18:05Giveaway by Seth Jarvis
  8. 1st OT · 17:42Jamie Drysdale Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
  9. 1st OT · 17:33Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Jordan Staal
  10. 1st OT · 17:33Puck Frozen – Goalie
  11. 1st OT · 17:09Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Noah Cates
  12. 1st OT · 17:09Icing

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st OT · 18:54Taylor Hall Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (6), Sean Walker (2)2–3
  2. 3rd · 11:21Seth Jarvis Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Nikolaj Ehlers (2), Jordan Staal (2)2–2
  3. 1st · 10:21Nikolaj Ehlers Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (5), K'Andre Miller (4)2–1
  4. 1st · 4:41Sean Couturier Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Carl Grundstrom (1)2–0
  5. 1st · 4:02Jamie Drysdale Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: none1–0

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