Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor8:00 PM ET🥅 Frederik Andersen vs Dan VladarHBO Max
Result readCarolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes 4 · Philadelphia Flyers 1

Final
Carolina Hurricanes61-29+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.8) · expected win rate 62% · last 10: 90%
Philadelphia Flyers47-45+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeXfinity Mobile ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

The model leans Carolina Hurricanes because Carolina Hurricanes owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Carolina Hurricanes has the recent-form edge. Shot quality, special teams, and goaltending variance keep the ceiling capped.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 85%. Actual: Carolina Hurricanes by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Game Leaders

Carolina HurricanesNikolaj Ehlers1
Philadelphia FlyersTrevor Zegras1

Injury Report

Philadelphia Flyers

Noah CatesOutOwen TippettOutRodrigo AbolsInjured ReserveNikita GrebenkinOutTy MurchisonOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Carolina Hurricanes beat Philadelphia Flyers 4-1.
  • Top line: Jordan Staal (Carolina Hurricanes) — 1 G, 1 A.
  • Support line: Andrei Svechnikov (Carolina Hurricanes) — 1 G, 1 A.
  • Support line: Jordan Martinook (Carolina Hurricanes) — 2 A.

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalNikolaj Ehlers Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Jordan Martinook (2), K'Andre Miller (5)3rd · 7:084–1
  2. 🥅 GoalAndrei Svechnikov Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (1), Shayne Gostisbehere (2)3rd · 3:523–1
  3. 🥅 GoalJalen Chatfield Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Jordan Staal (3), Jordan Martinook (1)2nd · 15:592–1
  4. 🥅 GoalTrevor Zegras Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Emil Andrae (1), Porter Martone (2)2nd · 2:311–1
  5. 🥅 GoalJordan Staal Goal (1) Backhand, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (2), Shayne Gostisbehere (1)1st · 17:271–0

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Carolina Hurricanes1124
Philadelphia Flyers0101

Team Stats

Carolina Hurricanes Stat Philadelphia Flyers
2PPG0
20PIM38
24FO Won25
31Hits41
4Takeaways4

Carolina Hurricanes

Forwards#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Forwards
Sebastian Aho C010020:106:442:1611:10280310206554.5112
Jackson Blake RW010-115:153:340:0011:4119020130000.0112
William Carrier LW03009:431:220:008:2117000110020.0000
Nikolaj Ehlers LW000117:307:340:009:5618120240000.0100
Taylor Hall LW010013:542:440:1710:5319030310010.0012
Mark Jankowski LW010010:031:241:287:11180000005362.5000
Seth Jarvis C030019:476:531:5211:0227010310010.0112
Jordan Martinook LW020215:111:323:1510:2424012110000.0100
Eric Robinson LW12007:410:000:556:4613000200000.0112
Jordan Staal C130115:262:002:4210:442611120010952.6000
Logan Stankoven C110-114:383:510:0610:41190602103442.9012
Andrei Svechnikov RW042017:266:450:0010:4121111340000.0100

Defenses#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Defense
Jalen Chatfield D200018:000:072:1815:3524110510000.0200
Shayne Gostisbehere D130017:468:070:039:3622002200000.0012
K'Andre Miller D020121:453:173:3114:5730001000000.0012
Alexander Nikishin D001013:551:521:4510:1819000000000.0100
Jaccob Slavin D211019:240:073:4215:3525000200000.0100
Sean Walker D130120:261:242:4716:1530000200000.0012

Goalies#

PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Goalies
Frederik Andersen G1190018.947134160:0000

Philadelphia Flyers

Forwards#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Forwards
Denver Barkey C030012:332:190:0510:09180100002625.0000
Alex Bump LW110111:480:490:2510:3419010210000.0200
Sean Couturier C131-118:431:456:5410:04280101007750.0212
Christian Dvorak C010-114:303:092:428:39210001007277.8036
Tyson Foerster RW141-216:404:093:368:5521000200000.0000
Luke Glendening C120015:420:046:349:04230100007653.8000
Carl Grundstrom RW040011:030:000:4010:2313000100000.0200
Garnet Hathaway RW040010:470:022:368:0916010100000.0012
Travis Konecny RW020-116:174:310:0011:4619010210000.00314
Porter Martone RW050115:073:540:0011:1320021210000.0000
Matvei Michkov RW10009:291:490:007:4012000200000.0200
Trevor Zegras C010016:283:580:1112:19201202002340.0112

Defenses#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Defense
Emil Andrae D210110:590:000:0010:5918001000000.0100
Jamie Drysdale D100-117:333:020:2614:0528020000000.0036
Rasmus Ristolainen D051-120:092:214:5912:4927010000000.0112
Travis Sanheim D321-124:410:327:0417:0531020110000.0200
Nick Seeler D210117:360:005:4211:5423010000000.0112
Cam York D420024:152:515:1916:0533010210000.0212

Goalies#

PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Goalies
Dan Vladar G4310027.871216059:5400

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:43Sean Couturier hit Jordan Martinook
  4. 3rd · 19:34Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Luke Glendening
  5. 3rd · 19:34Garnet Hathaway Roughing against Jackson Blake served by Carl Grundstrom
  6. 3rd · 19:34Rasmus Ristolainen Roughing against Shayne Gostisbehere
  7. 3rd · 19:34Shayne Gostisbehere Roughing against Rasmus Ristolainen
  8. 3rd · 19:34Logan Stankoven Roughing against Nick Seeler
  9. 3rd · 19:34Nick Seeler Roughing against Logan Stankoven
  10. 3rd · 19:27Logan Stankoven Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
  11. 3rd · 19:05Garnet Hathaway hit K'Andre Miller
  12. 3rd · 18:41Nick Seeler shot blocked by Logan Stankoven

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 7:08Nikolaj Ehlers Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Jordan Martinook (2), K'Andre Miller (5)4–1
  2. 3rd · 3:52Andrei Svechnikov Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (1), Shayne Gostisbehere (2)3–1
  3. 2nd · 15:59Jalen Chatfield Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Jordan Staal (3), Jordan Martinook (1)2–1
  4. 2nd · 2:31Trevor Zegras Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Emil Andrae (1), Porter Martone (2)1–1
  5. 1st · 17:27Jordan Staal Goal (1) Backhand, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (2), Shayne Gostisbehere (1)1–0

Trending