NBA Pythagorean Leaderboard
Expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed only — no record bonus, no recency adjustment. The cleanest read of how teams “should” be performing.
| # | Team | PF/G | PA/G | Expected Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City ThunderWestern Conference · Northwest | 119.0 | 107.9 | 80% |
| 2 | Detroit PistonsEastern Conference · Central | 117.8 | 109.6 | 73% |
| 3 | San Antonio SpursWestern Conference · Southwest | 119.8 | 111.5 | 73% |
| 4 | Boston CelticsEastern Conference · Atlantic | 114.9 | 107.2 | 72% |
| 5 | New York KnicksEastern Conference · Atlantic | 116.5 | 110.1 | 69% |
| 6 | Houston RocketsWestern Conference · Southwest | 115.2 | 110.0 | 66% |
| 7 | Denver NuggetsWestern Conference · Northwest | 122.1 | 116.9 | 65% |
| 8 | Charlotte HornetsEastern Conference · Southeast | 116.0 | 111.2 | 64% |
| 9 | Cleveland CavaliersEastern Conference · Central | 119.5 | 115.4 | 62% |
| 10 | Minnesota TimberwolvesWestern Conference · Northwest | 118.0 | 114.6 | 60% |
| 11 | Toronto RaptorsEastern Conference · Atlantic | 114.6 | 111.8 | 59% |
| 12 | Atlanta HawksEastern Conference · Southeast | 118.5 | 116.0 | 57% |
| 13 | Miami HeatEastern Conference · Southeast | 120.9 | 118.5 | 57% |
| 14 | Los Angeles LakersWestern Conference · Pacific | 116.3 | 114.6 | 55% |
| 15 | Phoenix SunsWestern Conference · Pacific | 112.6 | 111.1 | 55% |
| 16 | Orlando MagicEastern Conference · Southeast | 115.7 | 115.1 | 52% |
| 17 | Philadelphia 76ersEastern Conference · Atlantic | 115.9 | 116.1 | 49% |
| 18 | Portland Trail BlazersWestern Conference · Northwest | 115.5 | 115.8 | 49% |
| 19 | Golden State WarriorsWestern Conference · Pacific | 114.6 | 115.2 | 48% |
| 20 | New Orleans PelicansWestern Conference · Southwest | 115.5 | 120.0 | 37% |
| 21 | Chicago BullsEastern Conference · Central | 116.3 | 121.5 | 35% |
| 22 | Dallas MavericksWestern Conference · Southwest | 114.1 | 119.6 | 34% |
| 23 | Memphis GrizzliesWestern Conference · Southwest | 114.7 | 120.7 | 33% |
| 24 | Milwaukee BucksEastern Conference · Central | 110.6 | 116.8 | 32% |
| 25 | Indiana PacersEastern Conference · Central | 112.4 | 120.4 | 28% |
| 26 | Utah JazzWestern Conference · Northwest | 117.6 | 126.0 | 28% |
| 27 | Sacramento KingsWestern Conference · Pacific | 111.0 | 121.0 | 23% |
| 28 | Brooklyn NetsEastern Conference · Atlantic | 105.9 | 115.9 | 22% |
| 29 | Washington WizardsEastern Conference · Southeast | 112.9 | 124.9 | 20% |