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InTheRafters.com

CHW @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Shane Smith vs Jacob MisiorowskiMLB.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Chicago White Sox 2 · Milwaukee Brewers 14

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Milwaukee Brewers gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 75%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 12.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreOrtiz singled to right, Hamilton scored.4th Inning1–5
  2. ScoreMitchell walked, Lockridge scored, Hamilton to second, Frelick to third.6th Inning1–11
  3. ScoreHamilton walked, Yelich scored, Frelick to second, Lockridge to third.6th Inning1–10
  4. 🏃 DoubleContreras doubled to left, Hamilton scored, Ortiz scored and Mitchell scored.2nd Inning1–4
  5. ScoreMeidroth homered to left center (417 feet).1st Inning1–0
  6. ScoreMurakami homered to right (384 feet).9th Inning2–14

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox100000001241
Milwaukee Brewers04022330—14120

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·1-2211112123.500.7502.000
Colson Montgomery SS·0-4400000316.000.000.000
Miguel Vargas 3B·0-3300001321.000.250.000
Andrew Benintendi LF·0-2200000210.000.000.000
Lenyn Sosa 2B0-220000018.000.000.000
Austin Hays LF·1-4401000217.250.250.250
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-2211112018.500.7502.000
Everson Pereira RF·0-3300000311.000.000.000
Tristan Peters CF0-110000016.000.000.000
Edgar Quero C·0-3300000210.000.000.000
Reese McGuire C0-110000013.000.000.000
Luisangel Acuna CF·1-330100008.333.333.333
Derek Hill RF0-110000014.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shane Smith SP·1.234322054-3516.2054
Sean Newcomb RP2.132211033-267.7133
Tyler Gilbert RP1.022210118-1118.0018
Jordan Hicks RP0.223340034-1740.5034
Jedixson Paez SP1.123320136-2220.2536
Jordan Leasure RP1.000000011-70.0011

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·2-4402001122.500.600.750
William Contreras C·1-3311302019.333.600.667
Christian Yelich LF·2-4422101020.500.600.500
Andrew Vaughn 1B·1-4401100013.250.250.250
Brandon Lockridge LF0-112000004.000.000.000
Jake Bauers 1B·2-5522310216.400.4001.000
Sal Frelick RF·1-3321212023.333.6001.333
David Hamilton 3B·1-2221102026.500.750.500
Garrett Mitchell CF·0-1110102017.000.667.000
Blake Perkins LF0-110000005.000.000.000
Joey Ortiz SS·2-3322200012.667.667.667
Luis Rengifo 3B0-220000009.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Misiorowski SP·5.0211311194-571.8094
Aaron Ashby RP1.000002011-80.0011
Grant Anderson RP1.00000107-70.007
DL Hall RP1.010023027-170.0027
Jake Woodford RP1.011103116-129.0016

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningFrelick walked, Lockridge to second.
  2. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  3. 4th InningOrtiz singled to right, Hamilton scored.1–5
  4. 7th InningMurakami grounded out to first.

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningOrtiz singled to right, Hamilton scored.1–5
  2. 6th InningMitchell walked, Lockridge scored, Hamilton to second, Frelick to third.1–11
  3. 6th InningHamilton walked, Yelich scored, Frelick to second, Lockridge to third.1–10
  4. 2nd InningContreras doubled to left, Hamilton scored, Ortiz scored and Mitchell scored.1–4
  5. 1st InningMeidroth homered to left center (417 feet).1–0
  6. 9th InningMurakami homered to right (384 feet).2–14
  7. 7th InningBauers homered to right (361 feet), Yelich scored and Lockridge scored.1–14
  8. 4th InningYelich singled to center, Ortiz scored, Contreras thrown out at third.1–6
  9. 6th InningVaughn singled to center, Contreras scored, Yelich to third.1–9
  10. 2nd InningOrtiz singled to right, Frelick scored, Mitchell to second, Hamilton to third.1–1
  11. 5th InningFrelick homered to right (407 feet), Bauers scored.1–8

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