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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor3:10 PM CT⚾ Jose Soriano vs Hunter BrownMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 3 · Houston Astros 0

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Los Angeles Angels because Los Angeles Angels owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Houston Astros has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 61%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSchanuel homered to right (383 feet).9th Inning3–0
  2. ScorePeraza singled to left, Adell scored, O'Hoppe to third.8th Inning2–0
  3. ScoreTrout homered to left (403 feet).7th Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels000000111390
Houston Astros000000000030

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-5500000116.000.000.000
Mike Trout CF·1-2211113124.500.8002.000
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-5511110324.200.200.800
Jorge Soler RF·1-5501000228.200.200.200
Yoan Moncada 3B·1-3301002119.333.600.333
Jo Adell RF·2-3312001015.667.800.667
Josh Lowe LF·0-4400000224.000.000.000
Bryce Teodosio LF0-110000008.000.000.000
Logan O'Hoppe C·2-4402000216.500.500.500
Oswald Peraza 2B·1-4401100219.250.250.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jose Soriano SP·6.020047091-600.0091
Walbert Urena SP0.210011014-80.0014
Chase Silseth RP0.10000001-10.001
Drew Pomeranz RP1.000000012-80.0012
Jordan Romano RP1.000011012-60.0012

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·0-3300001013.000.250.000
Yordan Alvarez LF·0-330000118.000.250.000
Isaac Paredes 3B·0-3300001124.000.250.000
Carlos Correa SS·0-4400000116.000.000.000
Joey Loperfido LF·2-440200008.500.500.750
Cam Smith RF·0-3300001215.000.250.000
Christian Walker 1B·1-330100009.333.333.667
Nick Allen SS0-110000014.000.000.000
Yainer Diaz C·0-3300001213.000.250.000
Jake Meyers CF·0-3300001120.000.250.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Hunter Brown SP·4.2400490102-590.00102
AJ Blubaugh RP2.121103141-273.8641
Bryan King RP1.021101017-139.0017
Christian Roa RP1.011121133-169.0033

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningPeraza struck out swinging.
  2. 3rd InningMeyers walked.
  3. 9th InningTeodosio grounded out to shortstop.
  4. 8th InningParedes lined out to second.
  5. 8th InningLowe struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningSchanuel homered to right (383 feet).3–0
  2. 8th InningPeraza singled to left, Adell scored, O'Hoppe to third.2–0
  3. 7th InningTrout homered to left (403 feet).1–0

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