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InTheRafters.com

LAA @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
13–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:10 PM CT⚾ Reid Detmers vs Cristian JavierMLB.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Los Angeles Angels 9 · Houston Astros 11

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Houston Astros: Los Angeles Angels’s scoring margin profile and Houston Astros’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 60%. Actual: Houston Astros by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSchanuel homered to right (339 feet), Neto scored and Trout scored.9th Inning9–11
  2. ScoreWalker reached on infield single to shortstop, Paredes scored, Correa to second.6th Inning6–7
  3. ScoreCorrea singled to left, Paredes scored.5th Inning6–3
  4. 🏃 DoubleParedes doubled to left, Altuve scored and Meyers scored.5th Inning6–2
  5. 🏃 DoubleMeyers doubled to right, Diaz scored and Smith scored.6th Inning6–11
  6. 💣 Home RunCorrea reached on infield single to catcher, Alvarez scored on throwing error by catcher O'Hoppe and Loperfido scored, Paredes safe at third on error.6th Inning6–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels001230003963
Houston Astros00003800—11130

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-3320002127.154.267.462
Mike Trout CF·1-3321102020.556.7331.222
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-5511310120.308.400.769
Jorge Soler RF·1-2211213123.182.400.455
Yoan Moncada 3B·0-3300000114.100.357.100
Jo Adell RF·0-4400000010.250.357.250
Josh Lowe LF·0-3300001216.182.250.545
Logan O'Hoppe C·0-3310000114.273.333.273
Oswald Peraza 2B·3-4423110112.364.417.636

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Reid Detmers SP·4.263309095-695.7995
Walbert Urena SP1.046021048-280.0048
Joey Lucchesi RP0.132220025-1454.0025
Brent Suter RP2.000012024-150.0024

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·1-4411001224.200.385.200
Nick Allen SS0-000000000.000.000.000
Yordan Alvarez LF·2-3312001117.273.429.636
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-4421201126.091.231.182
Carlos Correa SS·2-5512200123.333.385.333
Christian Walker 1B·2-4412101120.300.417.500
Cam Smith RF·1-4411001129.091.231.091
Yainer Diaz C·1-5511200220.167.231.167
Jake Meyers CF·2-5522200113.250.333.375
Brice Matthews LF·0-2200000214.200.200.400
Joey Loperfido LF1-221100006.429.429.571

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cristian Javier SP·4.246641274-4111.5774
Kai-Wei Teng RP2.110012039-190.0039
Bryan King RP1.000012017-124.5017
Bryan Abreu RP1.013323126-1227.0026

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningCorrea fouled out to catcher.
  2. 8th InningSoler walked.
  3. 6th InningSmith walked, Walker to second, Correa to third.
  4. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  5. 2nd InningMatthews struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningSchanuel homered to right (339 feet), Neto scored and Trout scored.9–11
  2. 6th InningWalker reached on infield single to shortstop, Paredes scored, Correa to second.6–7
  3. 5th InningCorrea singled to left, Paredes scored.6–3
  4. 5th InningParedes doubled to left, Altuve scored and Meyers scored.6–2
  5. 6th InningMeyers doubled to right, Diaz scored and Smith scored.6–11
  6. 6th InningCorrea reached on infield single to catcher, Alvarez scored on throwing error by catcher O'Hoppe and Loperfido scored, Paredes safe at third on error.6–6
  7. 5th InningNeto scored on Teng wild pitch, Soler to second on wild pitch by Teng.6–0
  8. 5th InningSchanuel grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Peraza scored, Trout out at second, Neto to third.5–0
  9. 4th InningSoler homered to left (363 feet), Trout scored.3–0
  10. 3rd InningPeraza homered to left center (358 feet).1–0
  11. 6th InningMeyers scored on Ureña wild pitch, Loperfido to second on wild pitch by Ureña.6–4
  12. 5th InningNeto scored on Teng wild pitch, Soler to second on wild pitch by Teng.6–0
  13. 6th InningDiaz singled to right, Correa scored and Walker scored, Smith to third.6–9
  14. 6th InningMeyers scored on Ureña wild pitch, Loperfido to second on wild pitch by Ureña.6–4
  15. 5th InningTrout singled to left, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second, Peraza to third.4–0

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